Traders see a tightly contested field for the top text-to-video model by late October, with multiple unnamed entries and Google at 30% reflecting broad uncertainty amid rapid iteration. Google Veo 3.1 leads on cinematic quality, native audio, and benchmark consistency, while KlingAI, ByteDance’s Seedance, and Pika compete closely on motion realism, longer clips, and cost efficiency. OpenAI’s Sora 2 public rollout and Runway’s editing controls add pressure, but recent leaderboards show no decisive gap across prompt adherence, physics, or resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further model updates, developer API expansions, and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 41%
Luma AI 20.9%
KlingAI 18%
Tencent 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 oct 2026
31%
Luma AI
11%
KlingAI
17%
Tencent
16%
Pika
21%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
9%
ByteDance
15%
Pruna
13%
Meta
12%
Kandinsky
4%
Runway
3%
Lightricks
3%
MiniMax
1%
Genmo AI
1%
OpenAI
8%
SpaceXAI
36%
Pixverse
31%
Google 41%
Luma AI 20.9%
KlingAI 18%
Tencent 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 oct 2026
$104 Vol.
31%
Luma AI
$137 Vol.
11%
KlingAI
$84 Vol.
17%
Tencent
$104 Vol.
16%
Pika
$84 Vol.
21%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$65 Vol.
9%
ByteDance
$125 Vol.
15%
Pruna
$84 Vol.
13%
Meta
$84 Vol.
12%
Kandinsky
$79 Vol.
4%
Runway
$71 Vol.
3%
Lightricks
$80 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$104 Vol.
1%
Genmo AI
$106 Vol.
1%
OpenAI
$98 Vol.
8%
SpaceXAI
$84 Vol.
36%
Pixverse
$84 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested field for the top text-to-video model by late October, with multiple unnamed entries and Google at 30% reflecting broad uncertainty amid rapid iteration. Google Veo 3.1 leads on cinematic quality, native audio, and benchmark consistency, while KlingAI, ByteDance’s Seedance, and Pika compete closely on motion realism, longer clips, and cost efficiency. OpenAI’s Sora 2 public rollout and Runway’s editing controls add pressure, but recent leaderboards show no decisive gap across prompt adherence, physics, or resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further model updates, developer API expansions, and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volumen
$1,582Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested field for the top text-to-video model by late October, with multiple unnamed entries and Google at 30% reflecting broad uncertainty amid rapid iteration. Google Veo 3.1 leads on cinematic quality, native audio, and benchmark consistency, while KlingAI, ByteDance’s Seedance, and Pika compete closely on motion realism, longer clips, and cost efficiency. OpenAI’s Sora 2 public rollout and Runway’s editing controls add pressure, but recent leaderboards show no decisive gap across prompt adherence, physics, or resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further model updates, developer API expansions, and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$1,582Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested field for the top text-to-video model by late October, with multiple unnamed entries and Google at 30% reflecting broad uncertainty amid rapid iteration. Google Veo 3.1 leads on cinematic quality, native audio, and benchmark consistency, while KlingAI, ByteDance’s Seedance, and Pika compete closely on motion realism, longer clips, and cost efficiency. OpenAI’s Sora 2 public rollout and Runway’s editing controls add pressure, but recent leaderboards show no decisive gap across prompt adherence, physics, or resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further model updates, developer API expansions, and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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