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icon for ¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?

¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?

icon for ¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?

¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?

Polymarket
NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Demócratas

Demócratas

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Republicanos

Republicanos

$0 Vol.

48%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women voters remain closely divided ahead of the 2026 midterms, with recent generic ballot surveys showing narrow or shifting margins between the parties. Subgroup differences sustain the balance: college-educated and non-Christian white women lean Democratic in several polls, while white Christian and non-college women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Broader gender-gap trends and economic sentiment have produced modest Democratic edges among women overall, yet white registered voters as a group still tilt Republican. Trader consensus around even odds reflects this persistent split, uncertainty over turnout among moderate and independent white women, and limited major catalysts in recent weeks that could widen the gap before November.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
6 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women voters remain closely divided ahead of the 2026 midterms, with recent generic ballot surveys showing narrow or shifting margins between the parties. Subgroup differences sustain the balance: college-educated and non-Christian white women lean Democratic in several polls, while white Christian and non-college women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Broader gender-gap trends and economic sentiment have produced modest Democratic edges among women overall, yet white registered voters as a group still tilt Republican. Trader consensus around even odds reflects this persistent split, uncertainty over turnout among moderate and independent white women, and limited major catalysts in recent weeks that could widen the gap before November.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
6 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Demócratas" con 49%, seguido de "Republicanos" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?" es "Demócratas" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Republicanos" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué partido ganará a las mujeres blancas en las elecciones intermedias?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.