US-Iran negotiations remain stalled over core issues including Iran's nuclear program, control of the Strait of Hormuz, frozen asset releases, and linkages to a Lebanon ceasefire, with indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan showing limited recent progress. President Trump has publicly described advancing discussions toward a memorandum of understanding, while Iranian officials emphasize maximalist demands and reject certain draft terms, reflecting internal regime divisions between hardliners and negotiators. High-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance and Iranian counterparts including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have participated in prior rounds, but no new direct meetings are confirmed near the June 30 deadline amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and competing regional pressures. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these barriers before the resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$49,860 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Jared Kushner
45%
Steve Witkoff
39%
J.D. Vance
33%
Marco Rubio
11%
Donald Trump
5%
$49,860 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$7,985 Vol.
45%
Steve Witkoff
$10,342 Vol.
39%
J.D. Vance
$16,110 Vol.
33%
Marco Rubio
$6,148 Vol.
11%
Donald Trump
$9,274 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations remain stalled over core issues including Iran's nuclear program, control of the Strait of Hormuz, frozen asset releases, and linkages to a Lebanon ceasefire, with indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan showing limited recent progress. President Trump has publicly described advancing discussions toward a memorandum of understanding, while Iranian officials emphasize maximalist demands and reject certain draft terms, reflecting internal regime divisions between hardliners and negotiators. High-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance and Iranian counterparts including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have participated in prior rounds, but no new direct meetings are confirmed near the June 30 deadline amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and competing regional pressures. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these barriers before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volumen
$49,860Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations remain stalled over core issues including Iran's nuclear program, control of the Strait of Hormuz, frozen asset releases, and linkages to a Lebanon ceasefire, with indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan showing limited recent progress. President Trump has publicly described advancing discussions toward a memorandum of understanding, while Iranian officials emphasize maximalist demands and reject certain draft terms, reflecting internal regime divisions between hardliners and negotiators. High-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance and Iranian counterparts including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have participated in prior rounds, but no new direct meetings are confirmed near the June 30 deadline amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and competing regional pressures. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these barriers before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$49,860Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations remain stalled over core issues including Iran's nuclear program, control of the Strait of Hormuz, frozen asset releases, and linkages to a Lebanon ceasefire, with indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan showing limited recent progress. President Trump has publicly described advancing discussions toward a memorandum of understanding, while Iranian officials emphasize maximalist demands and reject certain draft terms, reflecting internal regime divisions between hardliners and negotiators. High-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance and Iranian counterparts including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have participated in prior rounds, but no new direct meetings are confirmed near the June 30 deadline amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and competing regional pressures. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these barriers before the resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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