**Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic flip in the November 2026 general election.** The open seat—held by Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden since his 2022 gain and narrow 2024 reelection—ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races. Cooke, who came within roughly three points of Van Orden last cycle, secured the nomination over Emily Berge and now benefits from superior fundraising, national Democratic support, and an internal and independent polling edge. The district’s swing character, combined with these head-to-head dynamics ahead of the November ballot, underpins the current 71.5%–28.5% implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
72%
Partido Republicano
29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,489 Vol.
72%
Partido Republicano
$1,464 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic flip in the November 2026 general election.** The open seat—held by Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden since his 2022 gain and narrow 2024 reelection—ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races. Cooke, who came within roughly three points of Van Orden last cycle, secured the nomination over Emily Berge and now benefits from superior fundraising, national Democratic support, and an internal and independent polling edge. The district’s swing character, combined with these head-to-head dynamics ahead of the November ballot, underpins the current 71.5%–28.5% implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$3,953Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic flip in the November 2026 general election.** The open seat—held by Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden since his 2022 gain and narrow 2024 reelection—ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races. Cooke, who came within roughly three points of Van Orden last cycle, secured the nomination over Emily Berge and now benefits from superior fundraising, national Democratic support, and an internal and independent polling edge. The district’s swing character, combined with these head-to-head dynamics ahead of the November ballot, underpins the current 71.5%–28.5% implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,953Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic flip in the November 2026 general election.** The open seat—held by Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden since his 2022 gain and narrow 2024 reelection—ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races. Cooke, who came within roughly three points of Van Orden last cycle, secured the nomination over Emily Berge and now benefits from superior fundraising, national Democratic support, and an internal and independent polling edge. The district’s swing character, combined with these head-to-head dynamics ahead of the November ballot, underpins the current 71.5%–28.5% implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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