Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Russian capture of Sloviansk by June 30, driven by stalled advances in Donetsk Oblast's Slovyansk direction amid Ukraine's robust fortress belt defenses. As of May 13, Institute for the Study of War reports confirm Ukrainian forces advanced near Slovyansk, while Russian troops suffered net territorial losses in April—the first since August 2024—and face high attrition from drone strikes, with over 156,000 personnel losses verified in recent months. Ongoing assaults near key heights have yielded minimal gains, echoing 2022 failures to seize the city. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Russian reinforcements, major Ukrainian withdrawals, or diplomatic pauses altering frontline dynamics, though trends suggest formidable barriers persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$216,941 Vol.
$216,941 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$216,941 Vol.
$216,941 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sloviansk Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station located on Tsentralna Vulytsia by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Russian capture of Sloviansk by June 30, driven by stalled advances in Donetsk Oblast's Slovyansk direction amid Ukraine's robust fortress belt defenses. As of May 13, Institute for the Study of War reports confirm Ukrainian forces advanced near Slovyansk, while Russian troops suffered net territorial losses in April—the first since August 2024—and face high attrition from drone strikes, with over 156,000 personnel losses verified in recent months. Ongoing assaults near key heights have yielded minimal gains, echoing 2022 failures to seize the city. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Russian reinforcements, major Ukrainian withdrawals, or diplomatic pauses altering frontline dynamics, though trends suggest formidable barriers persist.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sloviansk Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station located on Tsentralna Vulytsia by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
Volumen
$216,941Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sloviansk Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station located on Tsentralna Vulytsia by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Russian capture of Sloviansk by June 30, driven by stalled advances in Donetsk Oblast's Slovyansk direction amid Ukraine's robust fortress belt defenses. As of May 13, Institute for the Study of War reports confirm Ukrainian forces advanced near Slovyansk, while Russian troops suffered net territorial losses in April—the first since August 2024—and face high attrition from drone strikes, with over 156,000 personnel losses verified in recent months. Ongoing assaults near key heights have yielded minimal gains, echoing 2022 failures to seize the city. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Russian reinforcements, major Ukrainian withdrawals, or diplomatic pauses altering frontline dynamics, though trends suggest formidable barriers persist.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sloviansk Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station located on Tsentralna Vulytsia by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$216,941Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Russian capture of Sloviansk by June 30, driven by stalled advances in Donetsk Oblast's Slovyansk direction amid Ukraine's robust fortress belt defenses. As of May 13, Institute for the Study of War reports confirm Ukrainian forces advanced near Slovyansk, while Russian troops suffered net territorial losses in April—the first since August 2024—and face high attrition from drone strikes, with over 156,000 personnel losses verified in recent months. Ongoing assaults near key heights have yielded minimal gains, echoing 2022 failures to seize the city. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Russian reinforcements, major Ukrainian withdrawals, or diplomatic pauses altering frontline dynamics, though trends suggest formidable barriers persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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