The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026, driven by a wide valuation gap and cited regulatory plus financing hurdles, has anchored trader sentiment against any 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board formally rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, favoring its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores that includes cost cuts and Venmo expansion, while shares have since traded without takeover premium support. With only months remaining and no renewed approach signaled, the 90.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects consensus that the window has closed. A revived higher bid or unexpected board reversal remains possible but would require material shifts in PayPal’s standalone momentum or competitive pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
10% probabilidad
$85,585 Vol.
$85,585 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
10% probabilidad
$85,585 Vol.
$85,585 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026, driven by a wide valuation gap and cited regulatory plus financing hurdles, has anchored trader sentiment against any 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board formally rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, favoring its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores that includes cost cuts and Venmo expansion, while shares have since traded without takeover premium support. With only months remaining and no renewed approach signaled, the 90.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects consensus that the window has closed. A revived higher bid or unexpected board reversal remains possible but would require material shifts in PayPal’s standalone momentum or competitive pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$85,585Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026, driven by a wide valuation gap and cited regulatory plus financing hurdles, has anchored trader sentiment against any 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board formally rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, favoring its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores that includes cost cuts and Venmo expansion, while shares have since traded without takeover premium support. With only months remaining and no renewed approach signaled, the 90.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects consensus that the window has closed. A revived higher bid or unexpected board reversal remains possible but would require material shifts in PayPal’s standalone momentum or competitive pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$85,585Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026, driven by a wide valuation gap and cited regulatory plus financing hurdles, has anchored trader sentiment against any 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board formally rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, favoring its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores that includes cost cuts and Venmo expansion, while shares have since traded without takeover premium support. With only months remaining and no renewed approach signaled, the 90.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects consensus that the window has closed. A revived higher bid or unexpected board reversal remains possible but would require material shifts in PayPal’s standalone momentum or competitive pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes