The rejection of Stripe and Advent International’s $53.4 billion joint bid by PayPal’s board in July has anchored trader sentiment toward a “no” outcome at 76.1% implied probability. Preliminary interest surfaced in February, but the cash offer at $60.50 per share was viewed as undervaluing the company, leaving negotiations stalled amid financing commitments and antitrust scrutiny in the payments sector. With only four months remaining in 2026 and typical large-scale M&A timelines extending well beyond year-end, completing a deal this year faces steep hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised bid, PayPal’s next earnings release, and signals from regulators on competitive overlap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
24% probabilidad
$80,482 Vol.
$80,482 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
24% probabilidad
$80,482 Vol.
$80,482 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The rejection of Stripe and Advent International’s $53.4 billion joint bid by PayPal’s board in July has anchored trader sentiment toward a “no” outcome at 76.1% implied probability. Preliminary interest surfaced in February, but the cash offer at $60.50 per share was viewed as undervaluing the company, leaving negotiations stalled amid financing commitments and antitrust scrutiny in the payments sector. With only four months remaining in 2026 and typical large-scale M&A timelines extending well beyond year-end, completing a deal this year faces steep hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised bid, PayPal’s next earnings release, and signals from regulators on competitive overlap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$80,482Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The rejection of Stripe and Advent International’s $53.4 billion joint bid by PayPal’s board in July has anchored trader sentiment toward a “no” outcome at 76.1% implied probability. Preliminary interest surfaced in February, but the cash offer at $60.50 per share was viewed as undervaluing the company, leaving negotiations stalled amid financing commitments and antitrust scrutiny in the payments sector. With only four months remaining in 2026 and typical large-scale M&A timelines extending well beyond year-end, completing a deal this year faces steep hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised bid, PayPal’s next earnings release, and signals from regulators on competitive overlap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$80,482Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The rejection of Stripe and Advent International’s $53.4 billion joint bid by PayPal’s board in July has anchored trader sentiment toward a “no” outcome at 76.1% implied probability. Preliminary interest surfaced in February, but the cash offer at $60.50 per share was viewed as undervaluing the company, leaving negotiations stalled amid financing commitments and antitrust scrutiny in the payments sector. With only four months remaining in 2026 and typical large-scale M&A timelines extending well beyond year-end, completing a deal this year faces steep hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised bid, PayPal’s next earnings release, and signals from regulators on competitive overlap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes