Skip to main content
icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Tech·Manzana

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Tech·Manzana

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

may 15

may 15

ChatGPT 85.0%

Claude by Anthropic 5.9%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

Netflix Game Controller <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

ChatGPT 85.0%

Claude by Anthropic 5.9%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

Netflix Game Controller <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$3,856 Vol.

85%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$263 Vol.

6%

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$369 Vol.

1%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$416 Vol.

1%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$350 Vol.

<1%

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$365 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

$578 Vol.

<1%

icon for Google

Google

$371 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands an 89.5% implied probability as the top trader consensus for the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on May 15, anchored by its current stranglehold on the charts after surging downloads from the May 5 rollout of GPT-5.5 Instant, OpenAI's faster large language model variant optimized for mobile AI assistance. Live rankings from App Store and trackers like Appfigures confirm ChatGPT at #1, fending off Claude by Anthropic (5.9%), which briefly dethroned it in February-March 2026 amid competitive AI positioning but has since slipped to #2. Google Gemini and Meta AI linger low amid thinner user momentum, though daily download volatility—driven by viral features or promotions—could spark shifts before tomorrow's snapshot. Traders eye sustained adoption in the AI assistant race as the key edge.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$6,997
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands an 89.5% implied probability as the top trader consensus for the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on May 15, anchored by its current stranglehold on the charts after surging downloads from the May 5 rollout of GPT-5.5 Instant, OpenAI's faster large language model variant optimized for mobile AI assistance. Live rankings from App Store and trackers like Appfigures confirm ChatGPT at #1, fending off Claude by Anthropic (5.9%), which briefly dethroned it in February-March 2026 amid competitive AI positioning but has since slipped to #2. Google Gemini and Meta AI linger low amid thinner user momentum, though daily download volatility—driven by viral features or promotions—could spark shifts before tomorrow's snapshot. Traders eye sustained adoption in the AI assistant race as the key edge.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$6,997
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "ChatGPT" con 85%, seguido de "Claude by Anthropic" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 12, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" es "ChatGPT" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Claude by Anthropic" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.