Ongoing low-intensity conflict between the United States and Iran, marked by repeated U.S. strikes on military targets near the Strait of Hormuz in late August and early September 2026, continues without a formal congressional declaration of war. Executive-directed operations under the War Powers Resolution have sustained pressure on Iranian forces and shipping threats, following earlier 2026 airstrikes and a fragile June memorandum of understanding that failed to produce a comprehensive agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, or navigation. Congressional efforts to constrain further action through War Powers resolutions reflect institutional checks, while stalled diplomacy and Iranian missile responses keep bilateral tensions elevated. Any shift toward formal authorization would require Senate and House votes amid these dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
$7,815,194 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
2%
$7,815,194 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$842,559 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing low-intensity conflict between the United States and Iran, marked by repeated U.S. strikes on military targets near the Strait of Hormuz in late August and early September 2026, continues without a formal congressional declaration of war. Executive-directed operations under the War Powers Resolution have sustained pressure on Iranian forces and shipping threats, following earlier 2026 airstrikes and a fragile June memorandum of understanding that failed to produce a comprehensive agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, or navigation. Congressional efforts to constrain further action through War Powers resolutions reflect institutional checks, while stalled diplomacy and Iranian missile responses keep bilateral tensions elevated. Any shift toward formal authorization would require Senate and House votes amid these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$7,815,194Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing low-intensity conflict between the United States and Iran, marked by repeated U.S. strikes on military targets near the Strait of Hormuz in late August and early September 2026, continues without a formal congressional declaration of war. Executive-directed operations under the War Powers Resolution have sustained pressure on Iranian forces and shipping threats, following earlier 2026 airstrikes and a fragile June memorandum of understanding that failed to produce a comprehensive agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, or navigation. Congressional efforts to constrain further action through War Powers resolutions reflect institutional checks, while stalled diplomacy and Iranian missile responses keep bilateral tensions elevated. Any shift toward formal authorization would require Senate and House votes amid these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,815,194Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing low-intensity conflict between the United States and Iran, marked by repeated U.S. strikes on military targets near the Strait of Hormuz in late August and early September 2026, continues without a formal congressional declaration of war. Executive-directed operations under the War Powers Resolution have sustained pressure on Iranian forces and shipping threats, following earlier 2026 airstrikes and a fragile June memorandum of understanding that failed to produce a comprehensive agreement on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, or navigation. Congressional efforts to constrain further action through War Powers resolutions reflect institutional checks, while stalled diplomacy and Iranian missile responses keep bilateral tensions elevated. Any shift toward formal authorization would require Senate and House votes amid these dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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