Trader consensus on Polymarket prices USD/CAD around 1.37 amid persistent U.S.-Canada monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in April 2026 versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% target, supporting dollar strength through higher U.S. yields. Recent U.S. CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year in April, exceeding forecasts and tempering rate-cut expectations, while Canadian CPI eased to 2.4% in March, allowing BoC caution. The pair has stabilized after early-year gains, trading in a 1.36-1.37 range per major bank forecasts for end-2026. Key catalysts include June FOMC and BoC meetings, plus May nonfarm payrolls and Canadian employment data, which could widen or narrow the rate differential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$11,647 Vol.
↑1,70
6%
↑1.60
6%
↑1.55
30%
↑1,50
47%
↑1,45
30%
↑1,42
56%
↓1.33
47%
↓1,30
49%
↓1.25
42%
↓1.20
43%
↓1,10
54%
$11,647 Vol.
↑1,70
6%
↑1.60
6%
↑1.55
30%
↑1,50
47%
↑1,45
30%
↑1,42
56%
↓1.33
47%
↓1,30
49%
↓1.25
42%
↓1.20
43%
↓1,10
54%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices USD/CAD around 1.37 amid persistent U.S.-Canada monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in April 2026 versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% target, supporting dollar strength through higher U.S. yields. Recent U.S. CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year in April, exceeding forecasts and tempering rate-cut expectations, while Canadian CPI eased to 2.4% in March, allowing BoC caution. The pair has stabilized after early-year gains, trading in a 1.36-1.37 range per major bank forecasts for end-2026. Key catalysts include June FOMC and BoC meetings, plus May nonfarm payrolls and Canadian employment data, which could widen or narrow the rate differential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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