Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$74,044 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
10%
↑ 1,30
30%
↑ 1,26
25%
↑ 1,24
55%
↑ 1,22
55%
↑ 1,20
60%
↓ 1,14
78%
↓ 1,12
40%
↓ 1,10
19%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
$74,044 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$1,491 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,35
$981 Vol.
10%
↑ 1,30
$609 Vol.
30%
↑ 1,26
$2,748 Vol.
25%
↑ 1,24
$1,815 Vol.
55%
↑ 1,22
$320 Vol.
55%
↑ 1,20
$40,261 Vol.
60%
↓ 1,14
$5,583 Vol.
78%
↓ 1,12
$1,814 Vol.
40%
↓ 1,10
$2,636 Vol.
19%
↓ 1,05
$2,745 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.00
$3,181 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volumen
$74,044Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volumen
$74,044Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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