The World Cup Fair Play Award hinges on the team incurring the fewest disciplinary points across matches, calculated primarily from yellow and red cards with adjustments for positive play and conduct. With the 2026 tournament just underway, trader consensus remains tightly bunched because most squads enter with comparable recent form, similar coaching emphasis on discipline, and no standout historical edge in FIFA fair play rankings. Factors such as player temperament under pressure, referee tendencies in group-stage fixtures, and potential for high-stakes knockout intensity keep probabilities fluid. Early matches and any card-heavy results could quickly shift implied probabilities among the leading contenders before a clear leader emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: Ganador del premio Fair Play
Norway 24.3%
South Korea 23.6%
Japan 18.0%
Iran 17.9%
$53,817 Vol.
$53,817 Vol.
Norway
24%
South Korea
24%
Japan
16%
Iran
18%
France
18%
Belgium
16%
Spain
17%
Mexico
10%
Brazil
9%
England
5%
Argentina
5%
Germany
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
Netherlands
3%
United States
3%
Portugal
16%
Uzbekistan
2%
New Zealand
21%
Ivory Coast
1%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
7%
South Africa
1%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Tunisia
1%
Senegal
1%
Türkiye
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Australia
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Croatia
28%
Norway 24.3%
South Korea 23.6%
Japan 18.0%
Iran 17.9%
$53,817 Vol.
$53,817 Vol.
Norway
24%
South Korea
24%
Japan
16%
Iran
18%
France
18%
Belgium
16%
Spain
17%
Mexico
10%
Brazil
9%
England
5%
Argentina
5%
Germany
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
Netherlands
3%
United States
3%
Portugal
16%
Uzbekistan
2%
New Zealand
21%
Ivory Coast
1%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
7%
South Africa
1%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Tunisia
1%
Senegal
1%
Türkiye
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Australia
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Croatia
28%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The World Cup Fair Play Award hinges on the team incurring the fewest disciplinary points across matches, calculated primarily from yellow and red cards with adjustments for positive play and conduct. With the 2026 tournament just underway, trader consensus remains tightly bunched because most squads enter with comparable recent form, similar coaching emphasis on discipline, and no standout historical edge in FIFA fair play rankings. Factors such as player temperament under pressure, referee tendencies in group-stage fixtures, and potential for high-stakes knockout intensity keep probabilities fluid. Early matches and any card-heavy results could quickly shift implied probabilities among the leading contenders before a clear leader emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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