The 2026 World Cup Group D features a tightly contested race for first place, with the United States and Türkiye separated by just one percentage point in implied probability as the tournament opens. The co-host USMNT benefits from home-soil matches in Los Angeles, Seattle, and Santa Clara plus a deep roster of European-based talent, while Türkiye counters with technical quality from players like Arda Güler and a well-organized UEFA side making only its third World Cup appearance. Paraguay brings CONMEBOL experience and defensive structure under Gustavo Alfaro, positioning it as a realistic spoiler, and Australia relies on its physical style and recent Round-of-16 pedigree to remain dangerous. With all four sides boasting comparable recent form and no dominant favorite, the group’s balance keeps the top two outcomes closely aligned heading into the opening fixtures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEstados Unidos 39%
Türkiye 38%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 9.3%
$356,759 Vol.
$356,759 Vol.
Estados Unidos
39%
Türkiye
38%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
9%
Estados Unidos 39%
Türkiye 38%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 9.3%
$356,759 Vol.
$356,759 Vol.
Estados Unidos
39%
Türkiye
38%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
9%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 World Cup Group D features a tightly contested race for first place, with the United States and Türkiye separated by just one percentage point in implied probability as the tournament opens. The co-host USMNT benefits from home-soil matches in Los Angeles, Seattle, and Santa Clara plus a deep roster of European-based talent, while Türkiye counters with technical quality from players like Arda Güler and a well-organized UEFA side making only its third World Cup appearance. Paraguay brings CONMEBOL experience and defensive structure under Gustavo Alfaro, positioning it as a realistic spoiler, and Australia relies on its physical style and recent Round-of-16 pedigree to remain dangerous. With all four sides boasting comparable recent form and no dominant favorite, the group’s balance keeps the top two outcomes closely aligned heading into the opening fixtures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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