Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia remain locked in a near-even contest for Group H's last-place finish, reflecting closely matched squad depths and limited recent international momentum ahead of the June 15 kickoff. Cape Verde's debutant status and 67th FIFA ranking create vulnerability against stronger sides, while Saudi Arabia's inconsistent results and lower attacking output in qualifiers keep their own floor modest. Uruguay sits comfortably above both based on established depth and recent form, and Spain's elite midfield and defensive structure make a bottom finish improbable. The bunched probabilities capture this narrow gap in perceived team quality, with head-to-head results in the group stage still to determine final positioning.