The expanded 48-team format at the 2026 FIFA World Cup means 32 nations advance from the group stage—top two per group plus the eight strongest third-place sides—creating broader advancement paths than prior tournaments. Early group matches on opening day, including co-host Mexico against South Africa and the United States facing Paraguay, set initial standings that influence goal difference and tiebreakers such as points from head-to-head results, goals scored, and disciplinary records. Pre-tournament squad depth, recent form from qualifiers and friendlies, and injury updates to key players shape trader views on favorites like Spain, France, Argentina, and Brazil, who enter with strong implied probabilities due to talent and experience. Host-nation advantages, travel across North American venues, and schedule congestion over the coming weeks could shift momentum for mid-tier sides seeking one of the wildcard third-place berths.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: El equipo avanzará a las fases eliminatorias
$1,528,281 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
97%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
73%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,528,281 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
97%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
73%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 48-team format at the 2026 FIFA World Cup means 32 nations advance from the group stage—top two per group plus the eight strongest third-place sides—creating broader advancement paths than prior tournaments. Early group matches on opening day, including co-host Mexico against South Africa and the United States facing Paraguay, set initial standings that influence goal difference and tiebreakers such as points from head-to-head results, goals scored, and disciplinary records. Pre-tournament squad depth, recent form from qualifiers and friendlies, and injury updates to key players shape trader views on favorites like Spain, France, Argentina, and Brazil, who enter with strong implied probabilities due to talent and experience. Host-nation advantages, travel across North American venues, and schedule congestion over the coming weeks could shift momentum for mid-tier sides seeking one of the wildcard third-place berths.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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