Governor Dauda Lawal holds an 78% implied probability as the frontrunner due to his August 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and subsequent unanimous affirmation as the party’s consensus candidate for the 2027 Zamfara governorship, backed by endorsements from key figures including former governors Bello Matawalle and Abdulaziz Yari. The APC primary affirmation across all 14 local government areas delivered over 301,000 votes with INEC observers present, consolidating party machinery ahead of the contest. Recent governance recognitions for infrastructure, security operations against banditry, and fiscal transparency have further reinforced his position. Opposition contenders such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau (18%), Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus (16%), and Ahmed Yahuza (15%) remain fragmented across smaller parties with limited recent momentum or cross-party alignment, while the broader field of minor candidates shows negligible trader support. Market pricing reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent within the APC framework.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDauda Lawal 78%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 39%
Ahmed Yahuza 26%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 feb 2027
Dauda Lawal
78%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
39%
Ahmed Yahuza
26%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
25%
Dauda Lawal 78%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 39%
Ahmed Yahuza 26%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 feb 2027
Dauda Lawal
$279 Vol.
78%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
$0 Vol.
39%
Ahmed Yahuza
$0 Vol.
26%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
$0 Vol.
25%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Dauda Lawal holds an 78% implied probability as the frontrunner due to his August 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and subsequent unanimous affirmation as the party’s consensus candidate for the 2027 Zamfara governorship, backed by endorsements from key figures including former governors Bello Matawalle and Abdulaziz Yari. The APC primary affirmation across all 14 local government areas delivered over 301,000 votes with INEC observers present, consolidating party machinery ahead of the contest. Recent governance recognitions for infrastructure, security operations against banditry, and fiscal transparency have further reinforced his position. Opposition contenders such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau (18%), Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus (16%), and Ahmed Yahuza (15%) remain fragmented across smaller parties with limited recent momentum or cross-party alignment, while the broader field of minor candidates shows negligible trader support. Market pricing reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent within the APC framework.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volumen
$279Fecha de finalización
6 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Dauda Lawal holds an 78% implied probability as the frontrunner due to his August 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and subsequent unanimous affirmation as the party’s consensus candidate for the 2027 Zamfara governorship, backed by endorsements from key figures including former governors Bello Matawalle and Abdulaziz Yari. The APC primary affirmation across all 14 local government areas delivered over 301,000 votes with INEC observers present, consolidating party machinery ahead of the contest. Recent governance recognitions for infrastructure, security operations against banditry, and fiscal transparency have further reinforced his position. Opposition contenders such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau (18%), Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus (16%), and Ahmed Yahuza (15%) remain fragmented across smaller parties with limited recent momentum or cross-party alignment, while the broader field of minor candidates shows negligible trader support. Market pricing reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent within the APC framework.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volumen
$279Fecha de finalización
6 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Governor Dauda Lawal holds an 78% implied probability as the frontrunner due to his August 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and subsequent unanimous affirmation as the party’s consensus candidate for the 2027 Zamfara governorship, backed by endorsements from key figures including former governors Bello Matawalle and Abdulaziz Yari. The APC primary affirmation across all 14 local government areas delivered over 301,000 votes with INEC observers present, consolidating party machinery ahead of the contest. Recent governance recognitions for infrastructure, security operations against banditry, and fiscal transparency have further reinforced his position. Opposition contenders such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau (18%), Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus (16%), and Ahmed Yahuza (15%) remain fragmented across smaller parties with limited recent momentum or cross-party alignment, while the broader field of minor candidates shows negligible trader support. Market pricing reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent within the APC framework.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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