Tom Steyer maintains a commanding lead in the San Francisco portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to his longstanding Bay Area residency, extensive local organizing, and alignment with progressive voter priorities on climate policy, corporate accountability, and affordability measures. As a self-funded Democratic candidate with deep regional ties, Steyer consolidated support among San Francisco voters ahead of statewide rivals like Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, and Antonio Villaraigosa, while Republican contenders such as Steve Hilton polled far behind in the heavily Democratic city. Recent primary results and vote counting trends have reinforced trader consensus around Steyer's local dominance. A narrow upset remains theoretically possible only through an unprecedented late surge in absentee or provisional ballots favoring another candidate, though historical patterns in San Francisco elections make such a reversal highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Tom Steyer 96.7%
Steve Hilton 2.5%
Xavier Becerra <1%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
$9,375 Vol.
$9,375 Vol.
Tom Steyer
97%
Steve Hilton
3%
Xavier Becerra
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Katie Porter
<1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Matt Mahan
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Tom Steyer 96.7%
Steve Hilton 2.5%
Xavier Becerra <1%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
$9,375 Vol.
$9,375 Vol.
Tom Steyer
97%
Steve Hilton
3%
Xavier Becerra
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Katie Porter
<1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Matt Mahan
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
マーケット開始日: May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Steyer maintains a commanding lead in the San Francisco portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to his longstanding Bay Area residency, extensive local organizing, and alignment with progressive voter priorities on climate policy, corporate accountability, and affordability measures. As a self-funded Democratic candidate with deep regional ties, Steyer consolidated support among San Francisco voters ahead of statewide rivals like Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, and Antonio Villaraigosa, while Republican contenders such as Steve Hilton polled far behind in the heavily Democratic city. Recent primary results and vote counting trends have reinforced trader consensus around Steyer's local dominance. A narrow upset remains theoretically possible only through an unprecedented late surge in absentee or provisional ballots favoring another candidate, though historical patterns in San Francisco elections make such a reversal highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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