The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley remains closely contested after Collins led the May 19 primary with 40.5% to Dooley’s 30.2%. Divided Republican factions sustain uncertainty, as Collins draws from Trump-aligned voters while Dooley benefits from Governor Brian Kemp’s endorsement and broader establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with a late-May debate and a recent Collins campaign controversy, has kept polling margins narrow and elevated the implied probability of a single-digit Collins victory or Dooley upset. Voter turnout in the low-turnout runoff will likely determine separation among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Collins <5% 45%
Collins 25%+ 41%
Collins 10–15% 39%
コリンズ 20〜25％ 39%
$60 Vol.
$60 Vol.
2026/05/25
ドゥーリー勝利
15%
Collins <5%
45%
コリンズ 5〜10％
29%
Collins 10–15%
39%
Collins 15–20%
38%
コリンズ 20〜25％
39%
Collins 25%+
41%
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 25%+ 41%
Collins 10–15% 39%
コリンズ 20〜25％ 39%
$60 Vol.
$60 Vol.
2026/05/25
ドゥーリー勝利
$15 Vol.
15%
Collins <5%
$5 Vol.
45%
コリンズ 5〜10％
$20 Vol.
29%
Collins 10–15%
$5 Vol.
39%
Collins 15–20%
$5 Vol.
38%
コリンズ 20〜25％
$5 Vol.
39%
Collins 25%+
$5 Vol.
41%
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley remains closely contested after Collins led the May 19 primary with 40.5% to Dooley’s 30.2%. Divided Republican factions sustain uncertainty, as Collins draws from Trump-aligned voters while Dooley benefits from Governor Brian Kemp’s endorsement and broader establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with a late-May debate and a recent Collins campaign controversy, has kept polling margins narrow and elevated the implied probability of a single-digit Collins victory or Dooley upset. Voter turnout in the low-turnout runoff will likely determine separation among these contenders.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
音量
$60終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley remains closely contested after Collins led the May 19 primary with 40.5% to Dooley’s 30.2%. Divided Republican factions sustain uncertainty, as Collins draws from Trump-aligned voters while Dooley benefits from Governor Brian Kemp’s endorsement and broader establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with a late-May debate and a recent Collins campaign controversy, has kept polling margins narrow and elevated the implied probability of a single-digit Collins victory or Dooley upset. Voter turnout in the low-turnout runoff will likely determine separation among these contenders.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$60終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley remains closely contested after Collins led the May 19 primary with 40.5% to Dooley’s 30.2%. Divided Republican factions sustain uncertainty, as Collins draws from Trump-aligned voters while Dooley benefits from Governor Brian Kemp’s endorsement and broader establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with a late-May debate and a recent Collins campaign controversy, has kept polling margins narrow and elevated the implied probability of a single-digit Collins victory or Dooley upset. Voter turnout in the low-turnout runoff will likely determine separation among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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