The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for the current holder has drawn a wide field of candidates from across Brazil’s party spectrum, resulting in closely matched trader probabilities that reflect the absence of a dominant frontrunner months before the October 2026 vote. Recent activity centers on coalition-building talks and expressions of interest by figures such as Wilson Witzel, Tarcísio Motta, Eduardo Pazuello, and Anthony Garotinho, alongside others testing viability in different regions of the state. With no decisive polling consolidation or party nominations yet completed, the market continues to price individual outcomes near even odds while awaiting clearer signals from alliances, regional endorsements, and early surveys that could narrow the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ウィルソン・ウィッツェル 41%
タルシージオ・モッタ 40%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ 37%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ 36%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
41%
タルシージオ・モッタ
40%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
37%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
36%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
36%
フレッド・パシェコ
36%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
36%
シコ・マシャード
36%
ルイジーニョ博士
35%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
35%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
34%
フェリペ・クリ
34%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル 41%
タルシージオ・モッタ 40%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ 37%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ 36%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
$0 Vol.
41%
タルシージオ・モッタ
$0 Vol.
40%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
$0 Vol.
37%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
$0 Vol.
36%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
$0 Vol.
36%
フレッド・パシェコ
$0 Vol.
36%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
$0 Vol.
36%
シコ・マシャード
$0 Vol.
36%
ルイジーニョ博士
$0 Vol.
35%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
$0 Vol.
35%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
$0 Vol.
34%
フェリペ・クリ
$0 Vol.
34%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for the current holder has drawn a wide field of candidates from across Brazil’s party spectrum, resulting in closely matched trader probabilities that reflect the absence of a dominant frontrunner months before the October 2026 vote. Recent activity centers on coalition-building talks and expressions of interest by figures such as Wilson Witzel, Tarcísio Motta, Eduardo Pazuello, and Anthony Garotinho, alongside others testing viability in different regions of the state. With no decisive polling consolidation or party nominations yet completed, the market continues to price individual outcomes near even odds while awaiting clearer signals from alliances, regional endorsements, and early surveys that could narrow the field.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for the current holder has drawn a wide field of candidates from across Brazil’s party spectrum, resulting in closely matched trader probabilities that reflect the absence of a dominant frontrunner months before the October 2026 vote. Recent activity centers on coalition-building talks and expressions of interest by figures such as Wilson Witzel, Tarcísio Motta, Eduardo Pazuello, and Anthony Garotinho, alongside others testing viability in different regions of the state. With no decisive polling consolidation or party nominations yet completed, the market continues to price individual outcomes near even odds while awaiting clearer signals from alliances, regional endorsements, and early surveys that could narrow the field.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for the current holder has drawn a wide field of candidates from across Brazil’s party spectrum, resulting in closely matched trader probabilities that reflect the absence of a dominant frontrunner months before the October 2026 vote. Recent activity centers on coalition-building talks and expressions of interest by figures such as Wilson Witzel, Tarcísio Motta, Eduardo Pazuello, and Anthony Garotinho, alongside others testing viability in different regions of the state. With no decisive polling consolidation or party nominations yet completed, the market continues to price individual outcomes near even odds while awaiting clearer signals from alliances, regional endorsements, and early surveys that could narrow the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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