Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日セルジオ・モロ 84%
サンドロ・アレックス 17%
レキアン・フィーリョ 1.8%
ラファエル・グレカ <1%
$188,858 Vol.
$188,858 Vol.
2026/10/04
セルジオ・モロ
84%
サンドロ・アレックス
17%
レキアン・フィーリョ
2%
ラファエル・グレカ
<1%
グト・シウヴァ
<1%
アレクサンドレ・クリ
<1%
ベト・リシャ
<1%
エニオ・ヴェッリ
<1%
ルイス・フランサ
<1%
セルジオ・モロ 84%
サンドロ・アレックス 17%
レキアン・フィーリョ 1.8%
ラファエル・グレカ <1%
$188,858 Vol.
$188,858 Vol.
2026/10/04
セルジオ・モロ
$123,092 Vol.
84%
サンドロ・アレックス
$19,068 Vol.
17%
レキアン・フィーリョ
$22,988 Vol.
2%
ラファエル・グレカ
$3,403 Vol.
<1%
グト・シウヴァ
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
アレクサンドレ・クリ
$5,452 Vol.
<1%
ベト・リシャ
$2,625 Vol.
<1%
エニオ・ヴェッリ
$3,396 Vol.
<1%
ルイス・フランサ
$5,812 Vol.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
音量
$188,858終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$188,858終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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