Sergio Moro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent state polls, including a June survey placing him well ahead of Requião Filho and other declared or exploratory candidates such as Rafael Greca and Sandro Alex. His profile as a former federal judge and justice minister, combined with affiliation to the PL and backing from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro, has consolidated center-right support ahead of the October 4 vote. The incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) is term-limited and cannot seek a third consecutive term, opening the field while fragmenting opposition options. Traders appear to price in these polling trends and alignment shifts as the dominant factors shaping implied probabilities for the first-round outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日セルジオ・モロ 78%
レキアン・フィーリョ 11%
ラファエル・グレカ 10%
アレクサンドレ・クリ 3.9%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
セルジオ・モロ
78%
レキアン・フィーリョ
11%
ラファエル・グレカ
10%
アレクサンドレ・クリ
4%
ベト・リシャ
3%
エニオ・ヴェッリ
1%
グト・シウヴァ
1%
セルジオ・モロ 78%
レキアン・フィーリョ 11%
ラファエル・グレカ 10%
アレクサンドレ・クリ 3.9%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
セルジオ・モロ
$458 Vol.
78%
レキアン・フィーリョ
$133 Vol.
11%
ラファエル・グレカ
$171 Vol.
10%
アレクサンドレ・クリ
$133 Vol.
4%
ベト・リシャ
$192 Vol.
3%
エニオ・ヴェッリ
$118 Vol.
1%
グト・シウヴァ
$118 Vol.
1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent state polls, including a June survey placing him well ahead of Requião Filho and other declared or exploratory candidates such as Rafael Greca and Sandro Alex. His profile as a former federal judge and justice minister, combined with affiliation to the PL and backing from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro, has consolidated center-right support ahead of the October 4 vote. The incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) is term-limited and cannot seek a third consecutive term, opening the field while fragmenting opposition options. Traders appear to price in these polling trends and alignment shifts as the dominant factors shaping implied probabilities for the first-round outcome.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
音量
$1,324終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent state polls, including a June survey placing him well ahead of Requião Filho and other declared or exploratory candidates such as Rafael Greca and Sandro Alex. His profile as a former federal judge and justice minister, combined with affiliation to the PL and backing from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro, has consolidated center-right support ahead of the October 4 vote. The incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) is term-limited and cannot seek a third consecutive term, opening the field while fragmenting opposition options. Traders appear to price in these polling trends and alignment shifts as the dominant factors shaping implied probabilities for the first-round outcome.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$1,324終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent state polls, including a June survey placing him well ahead of Requião Filho and other declared or exploratory candidates such as Rafael Greca and Sandro Alex. His profile as a former federal judge and justice minister, combined with affiliation to the PL and backing from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro, has consolidated center-right support ahead of the October 4 vote. The incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) is term-limited and cannot seek a third consecutive term, opening the field while fragmenting opposition options. Traders appear to price in these polling trends and alignment shifts as the dominant factors shaping implied probabilities for the first-round outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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