Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling for the 2026 gubernatorial election, with her support rising to 44% in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21-24. This places her ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) at 1% and others negligible. Her government approval stands at 68%, reflecting stability since earlier rounds where the race was within the margin of error. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency and consistent polling momentum for Lyra, alongside Campos's position as the primary alternative backed by national PT figures. The first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios remain the core variables ahead of October voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラケル・リラ 64%
ジョアン・カンポス 36%
イヴァン・モラエス <1%
$30,644 Vol.
$30,644 Vol.

ラケル・リラ
64%
ジョアン・カンポス
36%
イヴァン・モラエス
<1%
ラケル・リラ 64%
ジョアン・カンポス 36%
イヴァン・モラエス <1%
$30,644 Vol.
$30,644 Vol.

ラケル・リラ
64%
ジョアン・カンポス
36%
イヴァン・モラエス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling for the 2026 gubernatorial election, with her support rising to 44% in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21-24. This places her ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) at 1% and others negligible. Her government approval stands at 68%, reflecting stability since earlier rounds where the race was within the margin of error. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency and consistent polling momentum for Lyra, alongside Campos's position as the primary alternative backed by national PT figures. The first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios remain the core variables ahead of October voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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