Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys released in mid-August 2026, show Cid Gomes and Capitão Wagner leading the Ceará Senate race for the two available seats, often in technical ties or narrow margins around 20-26%. This leaves the second-place outcome highly sensitive to vote fragmentation among the remaining field of eight registered candidates after the August 15 deadline. Lower-polling contenders such as Alcides Fernandes, Luizianne, Reginaldo, Catarina Matos, Guilherme Theophilo, and others split opposition and base support without clear consolidation. Trader consensus around 42-50% for these names reflects the absence of decisive late shifts, with any surge in turnout, endorsements, or campaign momentum among mid-tier options likely to separate probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アルシデス・フェルナンデス 44%
リノ・アルヴェス 44%
ルイジアーニ 44%
カタリナ・マトス 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アルシデス・フェルナンデス
44%
リノ・アルヴェス
44%
ルイジアーニ
44%
カタリナ・マトス
44%
レジナウド
44%
ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
44%
カピタン・ワグナー
43%
シジ・ゴメス
42%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス 44%
リノ・アルヴェス 44%
ルイジアーニ 44%
カタリナ・マトス 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アルシデス・フェルナンデス
$0 Vol.
44%
リノ・アルヴェス
$0 Vol.
44%
ルイジアーニ
$0 Vol.
44%
カタリナ・マトス
$0 Vol.
44%
レジナウド
$0 Vol.
44%
ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
$0 Vol.
44%
カピタン・ワグナー
$0 Vol.
43%
シジ・ゴメス
$0 Vol.
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys released in mid-August 2026, show Cid Gomes and Capitão Wagner leading the Ceará Senate race for the two available seats, often in technical ties or narrow margins around 20-26%. This leaves the second-place outcome highly sensitive to vote fragmentation among the remaining field of eight registered candidates after the August 15 deadline. Lower-polling contenders such as Alcides Fernandes, Luizianne, Reginaldo, Catarina Matos, Guilherme Theophilo, and others split opposition and base support without clear consolidation. Trader consensus around 42-50% for these names reflects the absence of decisive late shifts, with any surge in turnout, endorsements, or campaign momentum among mid-tier options likely to separate probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys released in mid-August 2026, show Cid Gomes and Capitão Wagner leading the Ceará Senate race for the two available seats, often in technical ties or narrow margins around 20-26%. This leaves the second-place outcome highly sensitive to vote fragmentation among the remaining field of eight registered candidates after the August 15 deadline. Lower-polling contenders such as Alcides Fernandes, Luizianne, Reginaldo, Catarina Matos, Guilherme Theophilo, and others split opposition and base support without clear consolidation. Trader consensus around 42-50% for these names reflects the absence of decisive late shifts, with any surge in turnout, endorsements, or campaign momentum among mid-tier options likely to separate probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys released in mid-August 2026, show Cid Gomes and Capitão Wagner leading the Ceará Senate race for the two available seats, often in technical ties or narrow margins around 20-26%. This leaves the second-place outcome highly sensitive to vote fragmentation among the remaining field of eight registered candidates after the August 15 deadline. Lower-polling contenders such as Alcides Fernandes, Luizianne, Reginaldo, Catarina Matos, Guilherme Theophilo, and others split opposition and base support without clear consolidation. Trader consensus around 42-50% for these names reflects the absence of decisive late shifts, with any surge in turnout, endorsements, or campaign momentum among mid-tier options likely to separate probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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