In São Paulo's October 2026 Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among leading contenders including Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL). Recent polling shows Tebet and Silva holding narrow edges in some surveys, while Derrite draws strength from public security credentials and alignment with the state governor's coalition. A fragmented right-leaning field and center-left alliances tied to the gubernatorial ticket have kept probabilities clustered, with recent electoral court rulings on early campaigning adding procedural scrutiny. Voter indecision and coalition dynamics could shift second-place positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日シモーネ・テベチ 30%
マリナ・シルバ 27%
ギリェルメ・デリッチ 24%
アンドレ・ド・プラド 7%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
シモーネ・テベチ
30%
マリナ・シルバ
27%
ギリェルメ・デリッチ
24%
アンドレ・ド・プラド
7%
ウィリアム・テイシェイラ
6%
ペッター・マース
5%
ウェラー・ゴンサウヴェス
5%
サレス
5%
ソニーニャ・フランシーニ
5%
エドネルソン・セザレッティ
4%
ジェラウド・ルフィーノ
4%
マルシオ・アルヴェス
4%
マイラ・デ・ソウザ
4%
エリアナ・フェレイラ博士
4%
シモーネ・テベチ 30%
マリナ・シルバ 27%
ギリェルメ・デリッチ 24%
アンドレ・ド・プラド 7%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
シモーネ・テベチ
$170 Vol.
30%
マリナ・シルバ
$190 Vol.
27%
ギリェルメ・デリッチ
$193 Vol.
24%
アンドレ・ド・プラド
$125 Vol.
7%
ウィリアム・テイシェイラ
$127 Vol.
6%
ペッター・マース
$85 Vol.
5%
ウェラー・ゴンサウヴェス
$85 Vol.
5%
サレス
$105 Vol.
5%
ソニーニャ・フランシーニ
$117 Vol.
5%
エドネルソン・セザレッティ
$112 Vol.
4%
ジェラウド・ルフィーノ
$103 Vol.
4%
マルシオ・アルヴェス
$105 Vol.
4%
マイラ・デ・ソウザ
$96 Vol.
4%
エリアナ・フェレイラ博士
$105 Vol.
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo's October 2026 Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among leading contenders including Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL). Recent polling shows Tebet and Silva holding narrow edges in some surveys, while Derrite draws strength from public security credentials and alignment with the state governor's coalition. A fragmented right-leaning field and center-left alliances tied to the gubernatorial ticket have kept probabilities clustered, with recent electoral court rulings on early campaigning adding procedural scrutiny. Voter indecision and coalition dynamics could shift second-place positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
音量
$1,717終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo's October 2026 Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among leading contenders including Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL). Recent polling shows Tebet and Silva holding narrow edges in some surveys, while Derrite draws strength from public security credentials and alignment with the state governor's coalition. A fragmented right-leaning field and center-left alliances tied to the gubernatorial ticket have kept probabilities clustered, with recent electoral court rulings on early campaigning adding procedural scrutiny. Voter indecision and coalition dynamics could shift second-place positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$1,717終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In São Paulo's October 2026 Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among leading contenders including Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL). Recent polling shows Tebet and Silva holding narrow edges in some surveys, while Derrite draws strength from public security credentials and alignment with the state governor's coalition. A fragmented right-leaning field and center-left alliances tied to the gubernatorial ticket have kept probabilities clustered, with recent electoral court rulings on early campaigning adding procedural scrutiny. Voter indecision and coalition dynamics could shift second-place positioning ahead of the single-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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