Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader assessments for first place in Espírito Santo’s first-round presidential vote due to the state’s conservative electorate and alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions. His July 2026 party nomination and mid-August campaign launch have consolidated right-leaning support behind the continuation of the Bolsonaro family project in a southeast region where such candidates have historically performed strongly. National polling shows him competitive with Lula overall, yet the Espírito Santo market reflects localized advantages in voter turnout patterns and lower backing for Workers’ Party or other opposition figures. Lula and minor candidates remain at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with limited recent shifts in state-level dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 84%
ルーラ 5.3%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ 5.0%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ 1.9%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
84%
ルーラ
5%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
5%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
2%
エジミウソン・コスタ
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
1%
レナン・サントス
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
パブロ・マルサウ
<1%
サマラ
<1%
ゼマ
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリー
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 84%
ルーラ 5.3%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ 5.0%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ 1.9%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$4,284 Vol.
84%
ルーラ
$239 Vol.
5%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
$311 Vol.
5%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$247 Vol.
2%
エジミウソン・コスタ
$211 Vol.
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$218 Vol.
1%
レナン・サントス
$383 Vol.
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
$385 Vol.
1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$478 Vol.
<1%
パブロ・マルサウ
$381 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$467 Vol.
<1%
ゼマ
$442 Vol.
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリー
$612 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader assessments for first place in Espírito Santo’s first-round presidential vote due to the state’s conservative electorate and alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions. His July 2026 party nomination and mid-August campaign launch have consolidated right-leaning support behind the continuation of the Bolsonaro family project in a southeast region where such candidates have historically performed strongly. National polling shows him competitive with Lula overall, yet the Espírito Santo market reflects localized advantages in voter turnout patterns and lower backing for Workers’ Party or other opposition figures. Lula and minor candidates remain at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with limited recent shifts in state-level dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
音量
$8,658終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader assessments for first place in Espírito Santo’s first-round presidential vote due to the state’s conservative electorate and alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions. His July 2026 party nomination and mid-August campaign launch have consolidated right-leaning support behind the continuation of the Bolsonaro family project in a southeast region where such candidates have historically performed strongly. National polling shows him competitive with Lula overall, yet the Espírito Santo market reflects localized advantages in voter turnout patterns and lower backing for Workers’ Party or other opposition figures. Lula and minor candidates remain at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with limited recent shifts in state-level dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$8,658終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader assessments for first place in Espírito Santo’s first-round presidential vote due to the state’s conservative electorate and alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions. His July 2026 party nomination and mid-August campaign launch have consolidated right-leaning support behind the continuation of the Bolsonaro family project in a southeast region where such candidates have historically performed strongly. National polling shows him competitive with Lula overall, yet the Espírito Santo market reflects localized advantages in voter turnout patterns and lower backing for Workers’ Party or other opposition figures. Lula and minor candidates remain at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with limited recent shifts in state-level dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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