Recent polling and the August 15 candidate registration deadline have kept the Piauí Senate race for first place tightly contested, with Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow edge in several surveys alongside Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD). Twenty candidates are competing for the two seats, fragmenting voter support across parties and limiting any single frontrunner's consolidation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as recent Data Max and Opinar surveys show top contenders separated by single digits amid high undecided shares. Key upcoming catalysts include further polling releases, convention follow-through on alliances, and campaign events that could clarify turnout patterns or shift preferences among key blocs before the October vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Marcelo Castro 36%
Toinho Dufrango 20%
Alexandre Mariano 20%
Francinaldo Leão 19%

Marcelo Castro
52%

Toinho Dufrango
20%

Alexandre Mariano
20%

Francinaldo Leão
19%

Cloves José
19%

Tiago Junqueira
19%

Antônio Barros
18%

Antônio José Lira
18%

Ciro Nogueira
18%

Jardenya Bezerra
18%

Julio Cesar
18%

Maria Madalena Nunes
18%

Major Paulo Roberto
18%

Irmão Evandro Marques
18%

Danniel Rocha
18%

Dionisio Carvalho
18%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
18%

Pastor Sena
18%

Pedro Laurentino
18%

Jorge Lopes
17%
Marcelo Castro 36%
Toinho Dufrango 20%
Alexandre Mariano 20%
Francinaldo Leão 19%

Marcelo Castro
52%

Toinho Dufrango
20%

Alexandre Mariano
20%

Francinaldo Leão
19%

Cloves José
19%

Tiago Junqueira
19%

Antônio Barros
18%

Antônio José Lira
18%

Ciro Nogueira
18%

Jardenya Bezerra
18%

Julio Cesar
18%

Maria Madalena Nunes
18%

Major Paulo Roberto
18%

Irmão Evandro Marques
18%

Danniel Rocha
18%

Dionisio Carvalho
18%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
18%

Pastor Sena
18%

Pedro Laurentino
18%

Jorge Lopes
17%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and the August 15 candidate registration deadline have kept the Piauí Senate race for first place tightly contested, with Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow edge in several surveys alongside Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD). Twenty candidates are competing for the two seats, fragmenting voter support across parties and limiting any single frontrunner's consolidation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as recent Data Max and Opinar surveys show top contenders separated by single digits amid high undecided shares. Key upcoming catalysts include further polling releases, convention follow-through on alliances, and campaign events that could clarify turnout patterns or shift preferences among key blocs before the October vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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