Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and the district's solid Republican lean with a Trump +30 margin. Challenger Dan Bilzerian's odds fell to 4.5% after a recent public feud with Nick Fuentes and groypers over the past week, eroding his early buzz from filing in early April and meme-driven campaign. Aaron Baker has edged ahead at 6.8% amid this shift, while others trail far behind in the crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランディ・ファイン 85%
アーロン・ベイカー 6.6%
ダン・ビルゼリアン 3.6%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ <1%
$138,302 Vol.
$138,302 Vol.
2026/08/18
ランディ・ファイン
85%
アーロン・ベイカー
7%
ダン・ビルゼリアン
4%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ
<1%
ジョシュア・バスケス
<1%
チャールズ・ガンバロ
<1%
アーネスト・オーディノ
<1%
ランディ・ファイン 85%
アーロン・ベイカー 6.6%
ダン・ビルゼリアン 3.6%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ <1%
$138,302 Vol.
$138,302 Vol.
2026/08/18
ランディ・ファイン
$14,672 Vol.
85%
アーロン・ベイカー
$14,892 Vol.
7%
ダン・ビルゼリアン
$43,143 Vol.
4%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ
$27,207 Vol.
<1%
ジョシュア・バスケス
$9,109 Vol.
<1%
チャールズ・ガンバロ
$10,760 Vol.
<1%
アーネスト・オーディノ
$18,519 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and the district's solid Republican lean with a Trump +30 margin. Challenger Dan Bilzerian's odds fell to 4.5% after a recent public feud with Nick Fuentes and groypers over the past week, eroding his early buzz from filing in early April and meme-driven campaign. Aaron Baker has edged ahead at 6.8% amid this shift, while others trail far behind in the crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
音量
$138,302終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and the district's solid Republican lean with a Trump +30 margin. Challenger Dan Bilzerian's odds fell to 4.5% after a recent public feud with Nick Fuentes and groypers over the past week, eroding his early buzz from filing in early April and meme-driven campaign. Aaron Baker has edged ahead at 6.8% amid this shift, while others trail far behind in the crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$138,302終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and the district's solid Republican lean with a Trump +30 margin. Challenger Dan Bilzerian's odds fell to 4.5% after a recent public feud with Nick Fuentes and groypers over the past week, eroding his early buzz from filing in early April and meme-driven campaign. Aaron Baker has edged ahead at 6.8% amid this shift, while others trail far behind in the crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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