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FL -07共和党予備選

icon for FL -07共和党予備選

FL -07共和党予備選

ライアン・イライジャ 78%

コリー・ミルズ 18%

サラ・ウルリッヒ 6%

マイク・ジョンソン 6%

Polymarket
新規

ライアン・イライジャ 78%

コリー・ミルズ 18%

サラ・ウルリッヒ 6%

マイク・ジョンソン 6%

Polymarket
新規

ライアン・イライジャ

$113 Vol.

78%

コリー・ミルズ

$129 Vol.

18%

サラ・ウルリッヒ

$20 Vol.

6%

マイク・ジョンソン

$23 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ryan Elijah holds a strong lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as a former Emmy-winning news anchor and local figure. The incumbent Cory Mills trails significantly amid ethics investigations, low cash on hand reported in recent filings, and prior allegations that have drawn primary challengers. Recent endorsements for Elijah from Volusia County Sheriff Mike Chitwood and state Sen. Tom Wright have reinforced his momentum in key areas like Seminole and Volusia counties. Other candidates including Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register lower probabilities, consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower name recognition this close to the vote. The primary outcome hinges on turnout among Republican voters assessing Mills' vulnerabilities against Elijah's local profile and fundraising trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$285
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ryan Elijah holds a strong lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as a former Emmy-winning news anchor and local figure. The incumbent Cory Mills trails significantly amid ethics investigations, low cash on hand reported in recent filings, and prior allegations that have drawn primary challengers. Recent endorsements for Elijah from Volusia County Sheriff Mike Chitwood and state Sen. Tom Wright have reinforced his momentum in key areas like Seminole and Volusia counties. Other candidates including Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register lower probabilities, consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower name recognition this close to the vote. The primary outcome hinges on turnout among Republican voters assessing Mills' vulnerabilities against Elijah's local profile and fundraising trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$285
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「FL -07共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ライアン・イライジャ」で78%、次いで「コリー・ミルズ」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「FL -07共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 20, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「FL -07共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL -07共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ライアン・イライジャ」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「コリー・ミルズ」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL -07共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。