The upcoming 12 August 2026 general election drives tight probabilities across multiple candidates for the next prime minister, with no single contender exceeding a narrow implied edge. Incumbent Mark Brown of the Cook Islands Party holds 12 seats from the prior term and leads a government that has faced opposition criticism over foreign partnerships and domestic proposals, while Democratic Party leader Tina Browne and Cook Islands United Party leader Teariki Heather head the main challengers with five and three seats respectively. A fragmented parliament, reliance on independents for majorities, and recent procedural steps including parliament's dissolution keep outcomes fluid. Post-election coalition negotiations and any shifts in voter turnout or candidate endorsements within the coming weeks could quickly alter the distribution of probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マーク・ブラウン 42%
ティナ・ブラウン 42%
ティアリキ・ヘザー 42%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
マーク・ブラウン
42%
ティナ・ブラウン
42%
ティアリキ・ヘザー
42%
マーク・ブラウン 42%
ティナ・ブラウン 42%
ティアリキ・ヘザー 42%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
マーク・ブラウン
$0 Vol.
42%
ティナ・ブラウン
$0 Vol.
42%
ティアリキ・ヘザー
$0 Vol.
42%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming 12 August 2026 general election drives tight probabilities across multiple candidates for the next prime minister, with no single contender exceeding a narrow implied edge. Incumbent Mark Brown of the Cook Islands Party holds 12 seats from the prior term and leads a government that has faced opposition criticism over foreign partnerships and domestic proposals, while Democratic Party leader Tina Browne and Cook Islands United Party leader Teariki Heather head the main challengers with five and three seats respectively. A fragmented parliament, reliance on independents for majorities, and recent procedural steps including parliament's dissolution keep outcomes fluid. Post-election coalition negotiations and any shifts in voter turnout or candidate endorsements within the coming weeks could quickly alter the distribution of probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming 12 August 2026 general election drives tight probabilities across multiple candidates for the next prime minister, with no single contender exceeding a narrow implied edge. Incumbent Mark Brown of the Cook Islands Party holds 12 seats from the prior term and leads a government that has faced opposition criticism over foreign partnerships and domestic proposals, while Democratic Party leader Tina Browne and Cook Islands United Party leader Teariki Heather head the main challengers with five and three seats respectively. A fragmented parliament, reliance on independents for majorities, and recent procedural steps including parliament's dissolution keep outcomes fluid. Post-election coalition negotiations and any shifts in voter turnout or candidate endorsements within the coming weeks could quickly alter the distribution of probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The upcoming 12 August 2026 general election drives tight probabilities across multiple candidates for the next prime minister, with no single contender exceeding a narrow implied edge. Incumbent Mark Brown of the Cook Islands Party holds 12 seats from the prior term and leads a government that has faced opposition criticism over foreign partnerships and domestic proposals, while Democratic Party leader Tina Browne and Cook Islands United Party leader Teariki Heather head the main challengers with five and three seats respectively. A fragmented parliament, reliance on independents for majorities, and recent procedural steps including parliament's dissolution keep outcomes fluid. Post-election coalition negotiations and any shifts in voter turnout or candidate endorsements within the coming weeks could quickly alter the distribution of probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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