Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
76%
民主党
22%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,374 Vol.
76%
民主党
$3,721 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$6,094終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,094終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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