Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar seeks re-election against a primary challenger on July 21, 2026, while Democratic contenders including Danielle Sterbinsky advance through their July primary toward the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of major shifts in voter registration or fundraising that would alter the baseline, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. No significant legislative or campaign developments in the past month have introduced new variables that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$718 Vol.
90%
民主党
$935 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar seeks re-election against a primary challenger on July 21, 2026, while Democratic contenders including Danielle Sterbinsky advance through their July primary toward the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of major shifts in voter registration or fundraising that would alter the baseline, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. No significant legislative or campaign developments in the past month have introduced new variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$1,653終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar seeks re-election against a primary challenger on July 21, 2026, while Democratic contenders including Danielle Sterbinsky advance through their July primary toward the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of major shifts in voter registration or fundraising that would alter the baseline, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. No significant legislative or campaign developments in the past month have introduced new variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,653終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar seeks re-election against a primary challenger on July 21, 2026, while Democratic contenders including Danielle Sterbinsky advance through their July primary toward the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of major shifts in voter registration or fundraising that would alter the baseline, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. No significant legislative or campaign developments in the past month have introduced new variables that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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