Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a clear edge in the NC-11 House race on prediction markets, driven primarily by Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards’ August 2026 withdrawal after a House Ethics Committee report detailed misconduct allegations involving staffers. Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as replacement nominee shortly afterward. Ager secured the Democratic nomination with a strong primary performance and benefits from DCCC “Red to Blue” support plus a sizable fundraising advantage. The district, redrawn in recent years, retains a Republican lean based on prior presidential results, yet trader consensus reflects the candidate transition and Ager’s organizational strength as key factors elevating Democratic odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,452 Vol.
$15,452 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
65%
共和党
36%
$15,452 Vol.
$15,452 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,064 Vol.
65%
共和党
$8,388 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a clear edge in the NC-11 House race on prediction markets, driven primarily by Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards’ August 2026 withdrawal after a House Ethics Committee report detailed misconduct allegations involving staffers. Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as replacement nominee shortly afterward. Ager secured the Democratic nomination with a strong primary performance and benefits from DCCC “Red to Blue” support plus a sizable fundraising advantage. The district, redrawn in recent years, retains a Republican lean based on prior presidential results, yet trader consensus reflects the candidate transition and Ager’s organizational strength as key factors elevating Democratic odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$15,452終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a clear edge in the NC-11 House race on prediction markets, driven primarily by Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards’ August 2026 withdrawal after a House Ethics Committee report detailed misconduct allegations involving staffers. Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as replacement nominee shortly afterward. Ager secured the Democratic nomination with a strong primary performance and benefits from DCCC “Red to Blue” support plus a sizable fundraising advantage. The district, redrawn in recent years, retains a Republican lean based on prior presidential results, yet trader consensus reflects the candidate transition and Ager’s organizational strength as key factors elevating Democratic odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,452終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a clear edge in the NC-11 House race on prediction markets, driven primarily by Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards’ August 2026 withdrawal after a House Ethics Committee report detailed misconduct allegations involving staffers. Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as replacement nominee shortly afterward. Ager secured the Democratic nomination with a strong primary performance and benefits from DCCC “Red to Blue” support plus a sizable fundraising advantage. The district, redrawn in recent years, retains a Republican lean based on prior presidential results, yet trader consensus reflects the candidate transition and Ager’s organizational strength as key factors elevating Democratic odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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