North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features Democrat Jamie Ager challenging the Republican nominee following incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal amid an ethics investigation. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom was selected as the GOP replacement in August 2026, leaving her with limited time to build name recognition and fundraising against Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary and has raised several million dollars. The district, redrawn in 2025 and historically Republican-leaning with a Cook PVI of R+5, saw Trump carry it by double digits in 2024. Recent polling averages remain close or favor Ager slightly, while broader midterm dynamics and candidate resources have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 65 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election remains two months away, with early voting and turnout in western North Carolina counties as key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,535 Vol.
$15,535 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
66%
共和党
36%
$15,535 Vol.
$15,535 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,147 Vol.
66%
共和党
$8,388 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features Democrat Jamie Ager challenging the Republican nominee following incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal amid an ethics investigation. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom was selected as the GOP replacement in August 2026, leaving her with limited time to build name recognition and fundraising against Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary and has raised several million dollars. The district, redrawn in 2025 and historically Republican-leaning with a Cook PVI of R+5, saw Trump carry it by double digits in 2024. Recent polling averages remain close or favor Ager slightly, while broader midterm dynamics and candidate resources have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 65 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election remains two months away, with early voting and turnout in western North Carolina counties as key variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$15,535終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features Democrat Jamie Ager challenging the Republican nominee following incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal amid an ethics investigation. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom was selected as the GOP replacement in August 2026, leaving her with limited time to build name recognition and fundraising against Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary and has raised several million dollars. The district, redrawn in 2025 and historically Republican-leaning with a Cook PVI of R+5, saw Trump carry it by double digits in 2024. Recent polling averages remain close or favor Ager slightly, while broader midterm dynamics and candidate resources have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 65 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election remains two months away, with early voting and turnout in western North Carolina counties as key variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,535終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 11th congressional district race features Democrat Jamie Ager challenging the Republican nominee following incumbent Chuck Edwards' withdrawal amid an ethics investigation. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom was selected as the GOP replacement in August 2026, leaving her with limited time to build name recognition and fundraising against Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary and has raised several million dollars. The district, redrawn in 2025 and historically Republican-leaning with a Cook PVI of R+5, saw Trump carry it by double digits in 2024. Recent polling averages remain close or favor Ager slightly, while broader midterm dynamics and candidate resources have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 65 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election remains two months away, with early voting and turnout in western North Carolina counties as key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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