Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a Republican primary on August 18, 2026, with U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holding a commanding lead in recent polling averages near 47% against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and other challengers. President Trump's endorsement has consolidated support for Donalds in the GOP field. On the Democratic side, former Rep. David Jolly appears positioned as the likely nominee following primary filings. General election polling shows narrow Republican edges in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Florida's recent statewide voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or likely Republican. These elements underpin trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.

共和党
83%

民主党
17%
$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.

共和党
83%

民主党
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a Republican primary on August 18, 2026, with U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holding a commanding lead in recent polling averages near 47% against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and other challengers. President Trump's endorsement has consolidated support for Donalds in the GOP field. On the Democratic side, former Rep. David Jolly appears positioned as the likely nominee following primary filings. General election polling shows narrow Republican edges in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Florida's recent statewide voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or likely Republican. These elements underpin trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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