Incumbent Republican Cory Mills holds a commanding position in Florida's 7th Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 reflecting GOP structural advantages from recent redistricting and his 2024 general election win by 13 points. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 83%, driven by Mills' Trump endorsement in February and historical incumbent re-election rates in similar districts, despite ethics investigations and fundraising shortfalls compared to leading Democratic primary contender Bale Dalton's $464,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Recent Sabato downgrade from Safe to Likely R in late April and new GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah signal modest competitive pressure ahead of the August 18 primaries, though no polls yet test general election matchups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
24%
$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,209 Vol.
79%
民主党
$5,854 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills holds a commanding position in Florida's 7th Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 reflecting GOP structural advantages from recent redistricting and his 2024 general election win by 13 points. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 83%, driven by Mills' Trump endorsement in February and historical incumbent re-election rates in similar districts, despite ethics investigations and fundraising shortfalls compared to leading Democratic primary contender Bale Dalton's $464,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Recent Sabato downgrade from Safe to Likely R in late April and new GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah signal modest competitive pressure ahead of the August 18 primaries, though no polls yet test general election matchups.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$10,063終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills holds a commanding position in Florida's 7th Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 reflecting GOP structural advantages from recent redistricting and his 2024 general election win by 13 points. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 83%, driven by Mills' Trump endorsement in February and historical incumbent re-election rates in similar districts, despite ethics investigations and fundraising shortfalls compared to leading Democratic primary contender Bale Dalton's $464,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Recent Sabato downgrade from Safe to Likely R in late April and new GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah signal modest competitive pressure ahead of the August 18 primaries, though no polls yet test general election matchups.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,063終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cory Mills holds a commanding position in Florida's 7th Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 reflecting GOP structural advantages from recent redistricting and his 2024 general election win by 13 points. Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 83%, driven by Mills' Trump endorsement in February and historical incumbent re-election rates in similar districts, despite ethics investigations and fundraising shortfalls compared to leading Democratic primary contender Bale Dalton's $464,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Recent Sabato downgrade from Safe to Likely R in late April and new GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah signal modest competitive pressure ahead of the August 18 primaries, though no polls yet test general election matchups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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