South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,857 Vol.
$34,857 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
15%
$34,857 Vol.
$34,857 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$12,210 Vol.
86%
民主党
$22,646 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$34,857終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,857終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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