Recent polling for Israel's scheduled October 2026 legislative election shows Likud hovering near 25 seats amid a tight contest with the newly formed Bennett-Lapid "Together" slate, which has drawn 25-27 seats in multiple surveys. The ruling coalition's ongoing difficulties, including ultra-Orthodox demands over military exemptions and internal Likud tensions over candidate list placements, have kept the party's projected seat total in a narrow band. These dynamics sustain close market pricing between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges, with further separation likely to hinge on coalition stability, the impact of the Bennett-Lapid alliance on right-leaning voters, and any movement toward early elections before the statutory deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
<20 13.6%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
<20
14%
20-24
34%
25-29
40%
30-34
31%
35+
15%
25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
<20 13.6%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
<20
$1,822 Vol.
14%
20-24
$80 Vol.
34%
25-29
$179 Vol.
40%
30-34
$132 Vol.
31%
35+
$236 Vol.
15%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's scheduled October 2026 legislative election shows Likud hovering near 25 seats amid a tight contest with the newly formed Bennett-Lapid "Together" slate, which has drawn 25-27 seats in multiple surveys. The ruling coalition's ongoing difficulties, including ultra-Orthodox demands over military exemptions and internal Likud tensions over candidate list placements, have kept the party's projected seat total in a narrow band. These dynamics sustain close market pricing between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges, with further separation likely to hinge on coalition stability, the impact of the Bennett-Lapid alliance on right-leaning voters, and any movement toward early elections before the statutory deadline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$2,449終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's scheduled October 2026 legislative election shows Likud hovering near 25 seats amid a tight contest with the newly formed Bennett-Lapid "Together" slate, which has drawn 25-27 seats in multiple surveys. The ruling coalition's ongoing difficulties, including ultra-Orthodox demands over military exemptions and internal Likud tensions over candidate list placements, have kept the party's projected seat total in a narrow band. These dynamics sustain close market pricing between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges, with further separation likely to hinge on coalition stability, the impact of the Bennett-Lapid alliance on right-leaning voters, and any movement toward early elections before the statutory deadline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$2,449終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's scheduled October 2026 legislative election shows Likud hovering near 25 seats amid a tight contest with the newly formed Bennett-Lapid "Together" slate, which has drawn 25-27 seats in multiple surveys. The ruling coalition's ongoing difficulties, including ultra-Orthodox demands over military exemptions and internal Likud tensions over candidate list placements, have kept the party's projected seat total in a narrow band. These dynamics sustain close market pricing between the 20-24 and 25-29 ranges, with further separation likely to hinge on coalition stability, the impact of the Bennett-Lapid alliance on right-leaning voters, and any movement toward early elections before the statutory deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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