Recent polling averages place Likud near 21-22 seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market's leading 20-24 bracket. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently edges Likud in most surveys at around 22-24 seats, while Naftali Bennett’s Together slate and smaller right-wing lists fragment the vote. Netanyahu’s bloc has shown modest recent gains in some Channel 13 and Channel 14 polls, reaching 54 seats versus 52 for the main opposition, yet neither side projects a clear 61-seat majority. Final list submissions, surplus-vote pacts, and threshold dynamics among smaller parties continue to compress Likud’s range, with outliers above 30 or below 20 remaining possible but less probable given the stable polling picture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日20-24 36%
25-29 26%
<20 18.1%
30-34 14%
$153,477 Vol.
$153,477 Vol.
2026/10/26
<20
18%
20-24
36%
25-29
26%
30-34
14%
35+
4%
20-24 36%
25-29 26%
<20 18.1%
30-34 14%
$153,477 Vol.
$153,477 Vol.
2026/10/26
<20
$52,808 Vol.
18%
20-24
$20,613 Vol.
36%
25-29
$35,611 Vol.
26%
30-34
$32,053 Vol.
14%
35+
$12,392 Vol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud near 21-22 seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market's leading 20-24 bracket. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently edges Likud in most surveys at around 22-24 seats, while Naftali Bennett’s Together slate and smaller right-wing lists fragment the vote. Netanyahu’s bloc has shown modest recent gains in some Channel 13 and Channel 14 polls, reaching 54 seats versus 52 for the main opposition, yet neither side projects a clear 61-seat majority. Final list submissions, surplus-vote pacts, and threshold dynamics among smaller parties continue to compress Likud’s range, with outliers above 30 or below 20 remaining possible but less probable given the stable polling picture.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$153,477終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud near 21-22 seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market's leading 20-24 bracket. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently edges Likud in most surveys at around 22-24 seats, while Naftali Bennett’s Together slate and smaller right-wing lists fragment the vote. Netanyahu’s bloc has shown modest recent gains in some Channel 13 and Channel 14 polls, reaching 54 seats versus 52 for the main opposition, yet neither side projects a clear 61-seat majority. Final list submissions, surplus-vote pacts, and threshold dynamics among smaller parties continue to compress Likud’s range, with outliers above 30 or below 20 remaining possible but less probable given the stable polling picture.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$153,477終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Likud near 21-22 seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market's leading 20-24 bracket. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently edges Likud in most surveys at around 22-24 seats, while Naftali Bennett’s Together slate and smaller right-wing lists fragment the vote. Netanyahu’s bloc has shown modest recent gains in some Channel 13 and Channel 14 polls, reaching 54 seats versus 52 for the main opposition, yet neither side projects a clear 61-seat majority. Final list submissions, surplus-vote pacts, and threshold dynamics among smaller parties continue to compress Likud’s range, with outliers above 30 or below 20 remaining possible but less probable given the stable polling picture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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