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icon for ペルー大統領選挙の勝者

ペルー大統領選挙の勝者

icon for ペルー大統領選挙の勝者

ペルー大統領選挙の勝者

ケイコ・フジモリ 62%

ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ 35.9%

ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 1.4%

ホルヘ・ニエト <1%

Polymarket

$50,585,217 Vol.

ケイコ・フジモリ 62%

ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ 35.9%

ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 1.4%

ホルヘ・ニエト <1%

Polymarket

$50,585,217 Vol.

icon for ケイコ・フジモリ

ケイコ・フジモリ

$6,290,015 Vol.

62%

icon for ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ

ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ

$12,439,316 Vol.

36%

icon for ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ

ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ

$11,610,760 Vol.

1%

icon for ホルヘ・ニエト

ホルヘ・ニエト

$5,474,532 Vol.

<1%

icon for カルロス・アルバレス

カルロス・アルバレス

$2,144,799 Vol.

<1%

icon for セサル・アクーニャ

セサル・アクーニャ

$642,951 Vol.

<1%

icon for ウラジミール・セロン

ウラジミール・セロン

$252,942 Vol.

<1%

icon for ロベルト・チアブラ

ロベルト・チアブラ

$136,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for エンリケ・バルデルラマ

エンリケ・バルデルラマ

$246,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for メシアス・ゲバラ

メシアス・ゲバラ

$324,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for マリオ・ビスカラ

マリオ・ビスカラ

$205,716 Vol.

<1%

icon for ホセ・ルナ

ホセ・ルナ

$369,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for ホセ・ウィリアムズ

ホセ・ウィリアムズ

$143,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for フィオレッラ・モリネッリ

フィオレッラ・モリネッリ

$161,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for フェルナンド・オリベラ

フェルナンド・オリベラ

$472,555 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヨンヒ・レスカノ

ヨンヒ・レスカノ

$437,428 Vol.

<1%

icon for アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ

アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ

$2,138,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジョージ・フォルサイス

ジョージ・フォルサイス

$277,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for リカルド・ベルモント

リカルド・ベルモント

$4,052,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for カルロス・エスパ

カルロス・エスパ

$1,041,730 Vol.

<1%

icon for ラファエル・ベラウンデ・リョサ

ラファエル・ベラウンデ・リョサ

$221,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for マリソル・ペレス・テジョ

マリソル・ペレス・テジョ

$802,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヴォルフガング・グローゾ

ヴォルフガング・グローゾ

$702,747 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's lead in Polymarket odds for Peru's presidential election stems from her first-place finish in the April 12 first-round vote, confirmed this week at 99.9% counted by the National Jury of Elections (JNE), securing a June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who narrowly edged conservative Rafael López Aliaga for second at 12%. Fujimori's 17% share reflects her enduring Fuerza Popular base, name recognition from prior campaigns, and voter frustration with leftist instability following Pedro Castillo's ouster. Recent Ipsos polls show a tight runoff matchup near 50-50, but traders favor Fujimori amid a prosecutorial probe into Sánchez for alleged false information, tilting implied probabilities despite the contest's volatility.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
音量
$50,585,217
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's lead in Polymarket odds for Peru's presidential election stems from her first-place finish in the April 12 first-round vote, confirmed this week at 99.9% counted by the National Jury of Elections (JNE), securing a June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who narrowly edged conservative Rafael López Aliaga for second at 12%. Fujimori's 17% share reflects her enduring Fuerza Popular base, name recognition from prior campaigns, and voter frustration with leftist instability following Pedro Castillo's ouster. Recent Ipsos polls show a tight runoff matchup near 50-50, but traders favor Fujimori amid a prosecutorial probe into Sánchez for alleged false information, tilting implied probabilities despite the contest's volatility.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
音量
$50,585,217
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ペルー大統領選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の23個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケイコ・フジモリ」で62%、次いで「ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、62¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に62%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ペルー大統領選挙の勝者」は$50.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 16, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ペルー大統領選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている23個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ペルー大統領選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ケイコ・フジモリ」で62%であり、市場がこの結果に62%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ペルー大統領選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。