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icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
新規

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
新規

Angus Taylor

$0 Vol.

100%

Robbie Katter

$0 Vol.

100%

Pauline Hanson

$0 Vol.

100%

Larissa Waters

$0 Vol.

100%

Anthony Albanese

$0 Vol.

100%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due no later than 2028, sustains even odds across a wide field of potential prime ministers, with incumbent Anthony Albanese and Coalition figures such as Angus Taylor trading near parity alongside minor party and independent names. Post-2025 reelection dynamics, including Labor's majority and emerging voter shifts toward parties like One Nation, keep leadership trajectories fluid within both major coalitions. Internal party reviews, Senate balances, and economic pressures could prompt leadership spills or policy realignments that elevate or sideline contenders before the campaign intensifies. Upcoming state elections and federal polling trends offer early signals that may begin to separate probabilities among the current cluster of candidates.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2028/09/23
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due no later than 2028, sustains even odds across a wide field of potential prime ministers, with incumbent Anthony Albanese and Coalition figures such as Angus Taylor trading near parity alongside minor party and independent names. Post-2025 reelection dynamics, including Labor's majority and emerging voter shifts toward parties like One Nation, keep leadership trajectories fluid within both major coalitions. Internal party reviews, Senate balances, and economic pressures could prompt leadership spills or policy realignments that elevate or sideline contenders before the campaign intensifies. Upcoming state elections and federal polling trends offer early signals that may begin to separate probabilities among the current cluster of candidates.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2028/09/23
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? 」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Angus Taylor」で50%、次いで「Robbie Katter」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? 」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 10, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? 」の現在のフロントランナーは「Angus Taylor」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Robbie Katter」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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