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icon for 次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？
政治·中東

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？

icon for 次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？
政治·中東

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？

ガディ・アイゼンコット 52.7%

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 29%

ナフタリ・ベネット 6%

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン 4.8%

Polymarket

$32,160,286 Vol.

ガディ・アイゼンコット 52.7%

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 29%

ナフタリ・ベネット 6%

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン 4.8%

Polymarket

$32,160,286 Vol.

icon for ガディ・アイゼンコット

ガディ・アイゼンコット

$1,622,138 Vol.

53%

icon for ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

$2,955,493 Vol.

29%

icon for ナフタリ・ベネット

ナフタリ・ベネット

$2,921,876 Vol.

6%

icon for アヴィグドル・リーベルマン

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン

$2,329,459 Vol.

5%

icon for モーシェ・フェイグリン

モーシェ・フェイグリン

$1,576,293 Vol.

1%

icon for ヤイール・ゴラン

ヤイール・ゴラン

$2,272,443 Vol.

<1%

icon for イタマール・ベン・グヴィル

イタマール・ベン・グヴィル

$1,499,082 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヤリブ・レヴィン

ヤリブ・レヴィン

$1,490,607 Vol.

<1%

icon for アミール・オハナ

アミール・オハナ

$2,394,870 Vol.

<1%

icon for ギデオン・サール

ギデオン・サール

$2,063,773 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヨアズ・ヘンデル

ヨアズ・ヘンデル

$1,517,306 Vol.

<1%

icon for ギラッド・エルダン

ギラッド・エルダン

$488,317 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヤイール・ラピド

ヤイール・ラピド

$1,414,027 Vol.

<1%

icon for ベニー・ガンツ

ベニー・ガンツ

$2,093,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヨッシ・コーヘン

ヨッシ・コーヘン

$2,011,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for アイェレット・シャケド

アイェレット・シャケド

$1,473,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for イスラエル・カッツ

イスラエル・カッツ

$636,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for ニル・バルカット

ニル・バルカット

$1,399,858 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads the market as the implied frontrunner for Israel's next prime minister after the October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling shows his new Yashar party tying or surpassing Likud, driven by his record as former IDF chief of staff and criticism of the incumbent government's handling of the post-October 2023 conflicts. Netanyahu's position reflects entrenched support from religious and right-wing parties but also fatigue after multiple terms amid coalition strains and war-related scrutiny. Other contenders such as Naftali Bennett trail due to declining poll numbers for their alliances, while lower-odds figures like Avigdor Lieberman remain niche options pending coalition math that typically requires 61 seats. Traders price in the challenges both major blocs face in assembling a majority without Arab parties or cross-camp deals, consistent with historical patterns in Israel's proportional system.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$32,160,286
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads the market as the implied frontrunner for Israel's next prime minister after the October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling shows his new Yashar party tying or surpassing Likud, driven by his record as former IDF chief of staff and criticism of the incumbent government's handling of the post-October 2023 conflicts. Netanyahu's position reflects entrenched support from religious and right-wing parties but also fatigue after multiple terms amid coalition strains and war-related scrutiny. Other contenders such as Naftali Bennett trail due to declining poll numbers for their alliances, while lower-odds figures like Avigdor Lieberman remain niche options pending coalition math that typically requires 61 seats. Traders price in the challenges both major blocs face in assembling a majority without Arab parties or cross-camp deals, consistent with historical patterns in Israel's proportional system.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$32,160,286
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の18個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ガディ・アイゼンコット」で53%、次いで「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」は$32.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 14, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている18個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ガディ・アイゼンコット」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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