Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right and red line in ongoing U.S. talks, consistent with its positions during 2025–2026 negotiations following the 2025 Israel-U.S. strikes on its nuclear sites. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding froze further enrichment and facility expansion temporarily while deferring detailed negotiations on enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification to a 60-day period, but produced no binding commitment to end domestic enrichment. Iranian officials, including President Pezeshkian, have reiterated that any final agreement must preserve enrichment activities under IAEA oversight, creating significant barriers to a full cessation by year-end amid unresolved disputes over sanctions relief and inspection access.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
14% 確率
$1,593,259 Vol.
$1,593,259 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
14% 確率
$1,593,259 Vol.
$1,593,259 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right and red line in ongoing U.S. talks, consistent with its positions during 2025–2026 negotiations following the 2025 Israel-U.S. strikes on its nuclear sites. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding froze further enrichment and facility expansion temporarily while deferring detailed negotiations on enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification to a 60-day period, but produced no binding commitment to end domestic enrichment. Iranian officials, including President Pezeshkian, have reiterated that any final agreement must preserve enrichment activities under IAEA oversight, creating significant barriers to a full cessation by year-end amid unresolved disputes over sanctions relief and inspection access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
音量
$1,593,259終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right and red line in ongoing U.S. talks, consistent with its positions during 2025–2026 negotiations following the 2025 Israel-U.S. strikes on its nuclear sites. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding froze further enrichment and facility expansion temporarily while deferring detailed negotiations on enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification to a 60-day period, but produced no binding commitment to end domestic enrichment. Iranian officials, including President Pezeshkian, have reiterated that any final agreement must preserve enrichment activities under IAEA oversight, creating significant barriers to a full cessation by year-end amid unresolved disputes over sanctions relief and inspection access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,593,259終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right and red line in ongoing U.S. talks, consistent with its positions during 2025–2026 negotiations following the 2025 Israel-U.S. strikes on its nuclear sites. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding froze further enrichment and facility expansion temporarily while deferring detailed negotiations on enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification to a 60-day period, but produced no binding commitment to end domestic enrichment. Iranian officials, including President Pezeshkian, have reiterated that any final agreement must preserve enrichment activities under IAEA oversight, creating significant barriers to a full cessation by year-end amid unresolved disputes over sanctions relief and inspection access.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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