Recent polling ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead over the governing Moderates and Sweden Democrats, placing party leader Magdalena Andersson as the clear frontrunner to become the next prime minister. This positioning reflects voter dissatisfaction with the current Tidö coalition's record on immigration enforcement and economic conditions during Ulf Kristersson's term. The April 2026 announcement by Kristersson offering cabinet roles to the Sweden Democrats aimed to consolidate the center-right bloc but has not narrowed the gap in surveys from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus. Proportional representation and coalition dynamics favor the largest party forming government, supporting trader consensus around Andersson's elevated implied probability while leaving room for shifts from late campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マグダレナ・アンデション 69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 30%
ジミー・オーケソン 2.7%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$1,953,781 Vol.
$1,953,781 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
30%
ジミー・オーケソン
3%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
マグダレナ・アンデション 69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 30%
ジミー・オーケソン 2.7%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$1,953,781 Vol.
$1,953,781 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
30%
ジミー・オーケソン
3%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead over the governing Moderates and Sweden Democrats, placing party leader Magdalena Andersson as the clear frontrunner to become the next prime minister. This positioning reflects voter dissatisfaction with the current Tidö coalition's record on immigration enforcement and economic conditions during Ulf Kristersson's term. The April 2026 announcement by Kristersson offering cabinet roles to the Sweden Democrats aimed to consolidate the center-right bloc but has not narrowed the gap in surveys from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus. Proportional representation and coalition dynamics favor the largest party forming government, supporting trader consensus around Andersson's elevated implied probability while leaving room for shifts from late campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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