Recent polls conducted in mid-August 2026 show Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a roughly 10-point lead over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s right-wing Tidö coalition ahead of the 13 September general election, translating into projected parliamentary majorities. This sustained advantage in voting intention surveys has reinforced trader consensus around Magdalena Andersson as the next prime minister, given her party’s status as the largest single force and its established role in forming governments. Kristersson’s Moderate Party and allied groups have shown no meaningful recovery in recent fieldwork, while smaller parties on both sides register negligible probabilities. With the election less than three weeks away and no major intervening events shifting bloc support, the market reflects the durable polling gap and conventional post-election coalition patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マグダレナ・アンデション 90%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 9%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト <1%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$3,879,527 Vol.
$3,879,527 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
90%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
9%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
1%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
ジミー・オーケソン
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
マグダレナ・アンデション 90%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 9%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト <1%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$3,879,527 Vol.
$3,879,527 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
90%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
9%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
1%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
ジミー・オーケソン
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls conducted in mid-August 2026 show Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a roughly 10-point lead over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s right-wing Tidö coalition ahead of the 13 September general election, translating into projected parliamentary majorities. This sustained advantage in voting intention surveys has reinforced trader consensus around Magdalena Andersson as the next prime minister, given her party’s status as the largest single force and its established role in forming governments. Kristersson’s Moderate Party and allied groups have shown no meaningful recovery in recent fieldwork, while smaller parties on both sides register negligible probabilities. With the election less than three weeks away and no major intervening events shifting bloc support, the market reflects the durable polling gap and conventional post-election coalition patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問