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icon for エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者
政治·グローバル選挙

エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者

icon for エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者
政治·グローバル選挙

エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者

リカルド・フェラッソ 56%

ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 29%

アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ 9.5%

セルジオ・ヴィジガル 7.1%

Polymarket
新規

リカルド・フェラッソ 56%

ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 29%

アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ 9.5%

セルジオ・ヴィジガル 7.1%

Polymarket
新規

リカルド・フェラッソ

$60 Vol.

56%

ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ

$120 Vol.

29%

アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ

$141 Vol.

10%

セルジオ・ヴィジガル

$37 Vol.

7%

エウクレリオ・サンパイオ

$150 Vol.

6%

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Ricardo Ferraço holds a modest lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, reflecting his April 2026 transition into the governorship and recent polling advantages over challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini. Early-stage dynamics keep the contest tight, including a fragmented field of pre-candidates, substantial undecided voters, and ongoing coalition negotiations ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet Pazolini and others retain paths through endorsements or shifts in voter turnout across key regions. Further separation could arise from upcoming debates, approval ratings on public management, or formal party alliances before October.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$508
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Ricardo Ferraço holds a modest lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, reflecting his April 2026 transition into the governorship and recent polling advantages over challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini. Early-stage dynamics keep the contest tight, including a fragmented field of pre-candidates, substantial undecided voters, and ongoing coalition negotiations ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet Pazolini and others retain paths through endorsements or shifts in voter turnout across key regions. Further separation could arise from upcoming debates, approval ratings on public management, or formal party alliances before October.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$508
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者 」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「リカルド・フェラッソ」で56%、次いで「ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者 」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 12, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者 」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者 」の現在のフロントランナーは「リカルド・フェラッソ」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「エスピリト・サント州知事選挙の勝者 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。