**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande resigned to run for Senate, leads most recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote with 35–43% support.** His main challenger, Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor), trails at 28–33%, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) remain in single digits. Ferraço benefits from a broad coalition backing his re-election bid, confirmed at the MDB convention in August, and consistently favorable polling across multiple institutes through early September. Traders price him as the clear favorite at 65%, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong approval ratings, and consistent leads in both first- and second-round scenarios, though the race could tighten if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Pazolini’s 33.5% price aligns with his position as the primary opposition contender.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リカルド・フェラッソ 65%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 34%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル <1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ <1%
$40,175 Vol.
$40,175 Vol.
2026/10/04
リカルド・フェラッソ
65%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ
34%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル
<1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ
<1%
エウクレリオ・サンパイオ
<1%
リカルド・フェラッソ 65%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 34%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル <1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ <1%
$40,175 Vol.
$40,175 Vol.
2026/10/04
リカルド・フェラッソ
$14,350 Vol.
65%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ
$13,943 Vol.
34%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル
$3,569 Vol.
<1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
エウクレリオ・サンパイオ
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande resigned to run for Senate, leads most recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote with 35–43% support.** His main challenger, Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor), trails at 28–33%, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) remain in single digits. Ferraço benefits from a broad coalition backing his re-election bid, confirmed at the MDB convention in August, and consistently favorable polling across multiple institutes through early September. Traders price him as the clear favorite at 65%, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong approval ratings, and consistent leads in both first- and second-round scenarios, though the race could tighten if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Pazolini’s 33.5% price aligns with his position as the primary opposition contender.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
音量
$40,175終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande resigned to run for Senate, leads most recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote with 35–43% support.** His main challenger, Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor), trails at 28–33%, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) remain in single digits. Ferraço benefits from a broad coalition backing his re-election bid, confirmed at the MDB convention in August, and consistently favorable polling across multiple institutes through early September. Traders price him as the clear favorite at 65%, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong approval ratings, and consistent leads in both first- and second-round scenarios, though the race could tighten if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Pazolini’s 33.5% price aligns with his position as the primary opposition contender.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$40,175終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande resigned to run for Senate, leads most recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote with 35–43% support.** His main challenger, Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor), trails at 28–33%, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) remain in single digits. Ferraço benefits from a broad coalition backing his re-election bid, confirmed at the MDB convention in August, and consistently favorable polling across multiple institutes through early September. Traders price him as the clear favorite at 65%, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong approval ratings, and consistent leads in both first- and second-round scenarios, though the race could tighten if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Pazolini’s 33.5% price aligns with his position as the primary opposition contender.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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