United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the most seats in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly due to its clean sweep of all 25 single-mandate districts and leading share of the party-list vote in the September 18-20, 2026 election. Preliminary counts after voting closed show the party improving on its 2021 performance with roughly 43% list support, positioning it for a qualified majority through combined proportional and majoritarian mandates. Opposition parties including the CPRF, New People, A Just Russia, LDPR, and Yabloko remain fragmented with single-digit list shares and limited district success. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over seat allocation could theoretically alter the outcome, though current margins make such reversals improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 96.7%
CPRF 2.9%
New People 2.6%
A Just Russia <1%
$3,902 Vol.
$3,902 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
97%
CPRF
3%
New People
3%
A Just Russia
1%
Yabloko
<1%
LDPR
<1%
United Russia 96.7%
CPRF 2.9%
New People 2.6%
A Just Russia <1%
$3,902 Vol.
$3,902 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
$887 Vol.
97%
CPRF
$808 Vol.
3%
New People
$379 Vol.
3%
A Just Russia
$642 Vol.
1%
Yabloko
$508 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$678 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the most seats in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly due to its clean sweep of all 25 single-mandate districts and leading share of the party-list vote in the September 18-20, 2026 election. Preliminary counts after voting closed show the party improving on its 2021 performance with roughly 43% list support, positioning it for a qualified majority through combined proportional and majoritarian mandates. Opposition parties including the CPRF, New People, A Just Russia, LDPR, and Yabloko remain fragmented with single-digit list shares and limited district success. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over seat allocation could theoretically alter the outcome, though current margins make such reversals improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
音量
$3,902終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the most seats in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly due to its clean sweep of all 25 single-mandate districts and leading share of the party-list vote in the September 18-20, 2026 election. Preliminary counts after voting closed show the party improving on its 2021 performance with roughly 43% list support, positioning it for a qualified majority through combined proportional and majoritarian mandates. Opposition parties including the CPRF, New People, A Just Russia, LDPR, and Yabloko remain fragmented with single-digit list shares and limited district success. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over seat allocation could theoretically alter the outcome, though current margins make such reversals improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$3,902終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the most seats in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly due to its clean sweep of all 25 single-mandate districts and leading share of the party-list vote in the September 18-20, 2026 election. Preliminary counts after voting closed show the party improving on its 2021 performance with roughly 43% list support, positioning it for a qualified majority through combined proportional and majoritarian mandates. Opposition parties including the CPRF, New People, A Just Russia, LDPR, and Yabloko remain fragmented with single-digit list shares and limited district success. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over seat allocation could theoretically alter the outcome, though current margins make such reversals improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問