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icon for デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?

デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?

icon for デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?

デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?

はい

8% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

8% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Folketing, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Folketing prior to their scheduled election at the end of the parliamentary term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Denmark and the Folketing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denmark’s new minority coalition government, formed in early June 2026 under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen with the Social Democrats, Socialist People’s Party, Radikale Venstre, and Moderates, holds a working parliamentary arrangement after the March 24 election. Recent diplomatic progress on Greenland, including a September 2026 U.S. agreement to expand military presence while preserving Danish sovereignty, has eased the external pressures that previously prompted early voting. With the Folketing term running until 2030 and no major domestic crises or coalition fractures reported in the intervening months, traders see little incentive for another snap election before year-end. Scheduled events such as budget negotiations offer routine political tests unlikely to trigger dissolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Folketing, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Folketing prior to their scheduled election at the end of the parliamentary term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Denmark and the Folketing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Folketing, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Folketing prior to their scheduled election at the end of the parliamentary term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Denmark and the Folketing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,018
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Folketing, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Folketing prior to their scheduled election at the end of the parliamentary term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Denmark and the Folketing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denmark’s new minority coalition government, formed in early June 2026 under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen with the Social Democrats, Socialist People’s Party, Radikale Venstre, and Moderates, holds a working parliamentary arrangement after the March 24 election. Recent diplomatic progress on Greenland, including a September 2026 U.S. agreement to expand military presence while preserving Danish sovereignty, has eased the external pressures that previously prompted early voting. With the Folketing term running until 2030 and no major domestic crises or coalition fractures reported in the intervening months, traders see little incentive for another snap election before year-end. Scheduled events such as budget negotiations offer routine political tests unlikely to trigger dissolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Folketing, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Folketing prior to their scheduled election at the end of the parliamentary term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Denmark and the Folketing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Folketing, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Folketing prior to their scheduled election at the end of the parliamentary term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Denmark and the Folketing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,018
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「デンマークで12月31日までに総選挙が行われるか?」で8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、8¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に8%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 18, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?」の現在のリーダーは「デンマークで12月31日までに総選挙が行われるか?」でわずか8%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「デンマークは12月31日までに選挙を予定していますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。