Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$35,272,602 Vol.
$35,272,602 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$35,272,602 Vol.
$35,272,602 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
音量
$35,272,602終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$35,272,602終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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