**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,478,047 Vol.
8月15日
<1%
8月22日
1%
8月31日
2%
9月30日
6%
10月31日
10%
11月30日
13%
12月31日
18%
2027年6月30日
26%
$23,478,047 Vol.
8月15日
<1%
8月22日
1%
8月31日
2%
9月30日
6%
10月31日
10%
11月30日
13%
12月31日
18%
2027年6月30日
26%
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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