Trump's recent international travel, including his May 12-13 state visit to Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping where he engaged with press, underscores his active presidential role midway through his second term, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% against early departure before January 2027. Partisan Democratic calls in April for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—citing perceived cognitive decline and backed by letters from over 30 mental health professionals—have gained no traction amid Republican majorities in Congress that block such proceedings. No verified health crises or resignations have emerged in the past 30 days, with a routine physical scheduled late May; historical rarity of mid-term removals via conviction or cabinet action further supports the high implied probability of term completion, barring unforeseen scandals ahead of November 2026 midterms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$8,329,779 Vol.
$8,329,779 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$8,329,779 Vol.
$8,329,779 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's recent international travel, including his May 12-13 state visit to Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping where he engaged with press, underscores his active presidential role midway through his second term, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% against early departure before January 2027. Partisan Democratic calls in April for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—citing perceived cognitive decline and backed by letters from over 30 mental health professionals—have gained no traction amid Republican majorities in Congress that block such proceedings. No verified health crises or resignations have emerged in the past 30 days, with a routine physical scheduled late May; historical rarity of mid-term removals via conviction or cabinet action further supports the high implied probability of term completion, barring unforeseen scandals ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
音量
$8,329,779終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's recent international travel, including his May 12-13 state visit to Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping where he engaged with press, underscores his active presidential role midway through his second term, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% against early departure before January 2027. Partisan Democratic calls in April for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—citing perceived cognitive decline and backed by letters from over 30 mental health professionals—have gained no traction amid Republican majorities in Congress that block such proceedings. No verified health crises or resignations have emerged in the past 30 days, with a routine physical scheduled late May; historical rarity of mid-term removals via conviction or cabinet action further supports the high implied probability of term completion, barring unforeseen scandals ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$8,329,779終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's recent international travel, including his May 12-13 state visit to Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping where he engaged with press, underscores his active presidential role midway through his second term, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% against early departure before January 2027. Partisan Democratic calls in April for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—citing perceived cognitive decline and backed by letters from over 30 mental health professionals—have gained no traction amid Republican majorities in Congress that block such proceedings. No verified health crises or resignations have emerged in the past 30 days, with a routine physical scheduled late May; historical rarity of mid-term removals via conviction or cabinet action further supports the high implied probability of term completion, barring unforeseen scandals ahead of November 2026 midterms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問