**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on his established high-frequency posting pattern across X.** The 40–64 range leads at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent daily output driven by ongoing commentary on SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, Grok AI features, and broader tech or cultural topics. Recent activity through August 15–17 shows multiple main-feed posts and reposts per day, including quick reactions to rocket records and AI developments, aligning with his typical engagement style rather than any acute spike. The next tier, under 40 tweets (32.5%), captures potential for a quieter stretch amid routine business focus or travel, while higher brackets like 65–89 (17.5%) remain secondary given the absence of major catalysts—such as product launches, regulatory hearings, or viral controversies—that historically amplify volume. Precursor short-term markets on similar windows reinforce this moderate range as the consensus baseline, with traders weighting his near-constant platform presence against the short three-day window and lack of imminent high-profile events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40〜64 49%
40未満 33%
65～89 18%
90～114 2.6%
新規
$16,542 Vol.
新規
$16,542 Vol.
2026/08/19
40未満
33%
40〜64
49%
65～89
18%
90～114
3%
115～139
1%
140〜164
<1%
165〜189
<1%
190〜214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40〜64 49%
40未満 33%
65～89 18%
90～114 2.6%
新規
$16,542 Vol.
新規
$16,542 Vol.
2026/08/19
40未満
$1,827 Vol.
33%
40〜64
$2,124 Vol.
49%
65～89
$559 Vol.
18%
90～114
$714 Vol.
3%
115～139
$1,317 Vol.
1%
140〜164
$2,568 Vol.
<1%
165〜189
$4,833 Vol.
<1%
190〜214
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$700 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$700 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on his established high-frequency posting pattern across X.** The 40–64 range leads at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent daily output driven by ongoing commentary on SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, Grok AI features, and broader tech or cultural topics. Recent activity through August 15–17 shows multiple main-feed posts and reposts per day, including quick reactions to rocket records and AI developments, aligning with his typical engagement style rather than any acute spike.
The next tier, under 40 tweets (32.5%), captures potential for a quieter stretch amid routine business focus or travel, while higher brackets like 65–89 (17.5%) remain secondary given the absence of major catalysts—such as product launches, regulatory hearings, or viral controversies—that historically amplify volume. Precursor short-term markets on similar windows reinforce this moderate range as the consensus baseline, with traders weighting his near-constant platform presence against the short three-day window and lack of imminent high-profile events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
音量
$16,542終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on his established high-frequency posting pattern across X.** The 40–64 range leads at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent daily output driven by ongoing commentary on SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, Grok AI features, and broader tech or cultural topics. Recent activity through August 15–17 shows multiple main-feed posts and reposts per day, including quick reactions to rocket records and AI developments, aligning with his typical engagement style rather than any acute spike.
The next tier, under 40 tweets (32.5%), captures potential for a quieter stretch amid routine business focus or travel, while higher brackets like 65–89 (17.5%) remain secondary given the absence of major catalysts—such as product launches, regulatory hearings, or viral controversies—that historically amplify volume. Precursor short-term markets on similar windows reinforce this moderate range as the consensus baseline, with traders weighting his near-constant platform presence against the short three-day window and lack of imminent high-profile events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$16,542終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on his established high-frequency posting pattern across X.** The 40–64 range leads at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent daily output driven by ongoing commentary on SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, Grok AI features, and broader tech or cultural topics. Recent activity through August 15–17 shows multiple main-feed posts and reposts per day, including quick reactions to rocket records and AI developments, aligning with his typical engagement style rather than any acute spike. The next tier, under 40 tweets (32.5%), captures potential for a quieter stretch amid routine business focus or travel, while higher brackets like 65–89 (17.5%) remain secondary given the absence of major catalysts—such as product launches, regulatory hearings, or viral controversies—that historically amplify volume. Precursor short-term markets on similar windows reinforce this moderate range as the consensus baseline, with traders weighting his near-constant platform presence against the short three-day window and lack of imminent high-profile events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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