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icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

1000+ 42%

880-919 12%

700-719 7%

720-739 7%

Polymarket
新規

1000+ 42%

880-919 12%

700-719 7%

720-739 7%

Polymarket
新規

<20

$160 Vol.

1%

20-39

$10 Vol.

1%

40-59

$10 Vol.

1%

60-79

$10 Vol.

1%

80-99

$10 Vol.

1%

100-119

$60 Vol.

1%

120-139

$60 Vol.

1%

140-159

$60 Vol.

1%

160-179

$60 Vol.

1%

180-199

$60 Vol.

1%

200-219

$60 Vol.

3%

220-239

$7 Vol.

3%

240-259

$7 Vol.

3%

260-279

$7 Vol.

3%

280-299

$7 Vol.

3%

300-319

$7 Vol.

3%

320-339

$7 Vol.

3%

340-359

$7 Vol.

3%

360-379

$7 Vol.

3%

380-399

$7 Vol.

3%

400-419

$7 Vol.

3%

420-439

$7 Vol.

3%

440-459

$7 Vol.

3%

460-479

$7 Vol.

3%

480-499

$7 Vol.

3%

500-519

$7 Vol.

6%

520-539

$7 Vol.

6%

540-559

$7 Vol.

6%

560-579

$7 Vol.

6%

580-599

$7 Vol.

6%

600-619

$7 Vol.

6%

620-639

$7 Vol.

6%

640-659

$7 Vol.

6%

660-679

$7 Vol.

6%

680-699

$7 Vol.

6%

700-719

$7 Vol.

7%

720-739

$7 Vol.

7%

740-759

$7 Vol.

7%

760-779

$7 Vol.

7%

780-799

$7 Vol.

7%

800-839

$7 Vol.

6%

840-879

$7 Vol.

6%

880-919

$173 Vol.

8%

920-959

$7 Vol.

6%

960-999

$7 Vol.

6%

1000+

$7 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's August 2026 tweet volume sits in a tightly contested band because his posting cadence remains highly variable and responsive to real-time events rather than fixed schedules. Recent weeks show steady daily output mixing company updates from Tesla and SpaceX, policy commentary, and quick reactions, producing weekly totals that traders map across multiple overlapping ranges without a single dominant bin. Absent major product launches, earnings surprises, or political flashpoints in early August, market-implied odds cluster around 160–400 tweets as participants weigh historical patterns against the possibility of sudden spikes from viral moments or quiet periods. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how entertainment-style unpredictability—late-breaking news, platform engagement, or personal timing—keeps resolution wide open until the month unfolds.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$964
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's August 2026 tweet volume sits in a tightly contested band because his posting cadence remains highly variable and responsive to real-time events rather than fixed schedules. Recent weeks show steady daily output mixing company updates from Tesla and SpaceX, policy commentary, and quick reactions, producing weekly totals that traders map across multiple overlapping ranges without a single dominant bin. Absent major product launches, earnings surprises, or political flashpoints in early August, market-implied odds cluster around 160–400 tweets as participants weigh historical patterns against the possibility of sudden spikes from viral moments or quiet periods. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how entertainment-style unpredictability—late-breaking news, platform engagement, or personal timing—keeps resolution wide open until the month unfolds.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$964
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の46+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1000+」で42%、次いで「880-919」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 24, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている46+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「1000+」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「880-919」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。