HBO Max’s commanding lead in 2026 Emmy nominations—122 total, ahead of Netflix’s 111 and Apple TV’s 87—has anchored trader sentiment at 75% implied probability, fueled by massive hauls for medical drama The Pitt (25 nods) and final-season comedy Hacks (24). These frontrunners position the streamer to sweep key drama, comedy, and acting categories, echoing its historical dominance. Apple TV’s Widow’s Bay and Pluribus, plus Netflix’s Beef limited series, create competitive pockets but lack the combined volume to overtake. With final voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony days away, late momentum shifts remain possible yet unlikely given the precursor and guild signals favoring HBO Max’s slate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日どのストリーミングサービスが最もエミー賞を獲得しますか?
HBO Max 75%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 7.8%
Hulu <1%
$75,091 Vol.
$75,091 Vol.

HBO Max
75%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
8%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
HBO Max 75%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 7.8%
Hulu <1%
$75,091 Vol.
$75,091 Vol.

HBO Max
75%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
8%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...HBO Max’s commanding lead in 2026 Emmy nominations—122 total, ahead of Netflix’s 111 and Apple TV’s 87—has anchored trader sentiment at 75% implied probability, fueled by massive hauls for medical drama The Pitt (25 nods) and final-season comedy Hacks (24). These frontrunners position the streamer to sweep key drama, comedy, and acting categories, echoing its historical dominance. Apple TV’s Widow’s Bay and Pluribus, plus Netflix’s Beef limited series, create competitive pockets but lack the combined volume to overtake. With final voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony days away, late momentum shifts remain possible yet unlikely given the precursor and guild signals favoring HBO Max’s slate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問