The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Variety Series due to its status as the show's final season after CBS cancellation, which delivered a record nine nominations including multiple technical and writing nods for the finale episode. This narrative of a curtain call has generated strong industry momentum and historical precedent, as the program won the prior year amid similar sympathy voting. The newly merged category pitting late-night talk entries against Last Week Tonight with John Oliver has consolidated support behind Colbert, with the remaining nominees—Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show—trailing at single-digit odds amid lighter precursor traction. Voting closes in days ahead of the September ceremony, leaving limited room for late shifts unless guild or critics' honors intervene.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 77%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 6.9%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」 4.3%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ 2.7%
$90,078 Vol.
$90,078 Vol.
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
77%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
7%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」
4%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
3%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
2%
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 77%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 6.9%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」 4.3%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ 2.7%
$90,078 Vol.
$90,078 Vol.
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
77%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
7%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」
4%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
3%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
2%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Variety Series due to its status as the show's final season after CBS cancellation, which delivered a record nine nominations including multiple technical and writing nods for the finale episode. This narrative of a curtain call has generated strong industry momentum and historical precedent, as the program won the prior year amid similar sympathy voting. The newly merged category pitting late-night talk entries against Last Week Tonight with John Oliver has consolidated support behind Colbert, with the remaining nominees—Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show—trailing at single-digit odds amid lighter precursor traction. Voting closes in days ahead of the September ceremony, leaving limited room for late shifts unless guild or critics' honors intervene.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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